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Primeira Liga

Referee: Nuno Miguel Serrano Almeida

Arouca

T S T U T

1–0

Full-time

Gil Vicente

S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arouca Gil Vicente

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,8

3,3

Scored

0,5

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,0

This season — Primeira Liga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

4,0

1,0

Scored

0,0

1,0

Conceded

4,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

-4,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%

8 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

22 Free kicks against 18

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Arouca 15. · Gil Vicente 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Boavista	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Guimaraes	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Sp Braga	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Sp Lisbon	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Estoril	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Chaves	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Vizela	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Santa Clara	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Casa Pia	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Portimonense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Arouca	1	0	0	1	-4	0
16	Rio Ave	2	0	0	2	-4	0
17	Maritimo	2	0	0	2	-5	0
18	Famalicao	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Estoril	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Boavista	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Sp Braga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Santa Clara	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Portimonense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Vizela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Casa Pia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Chaves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Famalicao	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Chaves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Boavista	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Vizela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Porto	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Sp Lisbon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Casa Pia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Santa Clara	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Estoril	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Famalicao	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-3	0
15	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
16	Arouca	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.