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Eredivisie
Referee: R Dieperink
Zwolle
T T T S S
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle Go Ahead Eagles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
4,0
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 4/3 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 88%
75%
100%
Both score Ø 88%
75%
100%
Average goals
2,8
5,3
Scored
1,3
2,7
Conceded
1,5
2,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,94 xG 0,98
63% Possession 37%
27 Shots 9
11 Shots on target 2
9 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 10
11 Corners 4
2 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Zwolle 8. · Go Ahead Eagles 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 4 4 0 0 +12 +7.2 12
2 Feyenoord 5 3 2 0 +14 +10.8 11
3 AZ Alkmaar 3 3 0 0 +8 +3.5 9
4 Twente 3 3 0 0 +7 +2.0 9
5 For Sittard 5 2 3 0 +3 +3.3 9
6 Sparta Rotterdam 4 2 2 0 +3 +0.1 8
7 Go Ahead Eagles 3 2 0 1 +0 -1.4 6
8 Zwolle 4 2 0 2 -1 +0.7 6
9 Heracles 4 2 0 2 -2 -2.3 6
10 Heerenveen 5 2 0 3 -4 -5.8 6
11 Ajax 3 1 2 0 +3 +3.2 5
12 Excelsior 4 1 2 1 -1 -1.6 5
13 Nijmegen 5 1 1 3 -3 -6.4 4
14 Vitesse 4 1 0 3 -5 -2.3 3
15 Utrecht 5 1 0 4 -7 -4.4 3
16 Waalwijk 5 1 0 4 -9 +1.1 3
17 Volendam 4 0 0 4 -8 -3.1 0
18 Almere City 4 0 0 4 -10 -4.6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zwolle Go Ahead Eagles
Ferdy Druijf 🟨
23′
23′
🟨 Jamal Amofa
44′
ℹ️ Willum Thor Willumsson
VAR: Goal cancelled
45′
🟨 Willum Thor Willumsson
Half-time 0–0
47′
🟨 Jamal Amofa
47′
🟥 Jamal Amofa
51′
🔁 G. Nauber
↦ V. Edvardsen
1–0 E. Reijnders
F. Druijf
52′
56′
🔁 S. Sow
↦ J. Breum
70′
O. Edvardsen 1–1
B. Kuipers
A. Vellios 🔁
↦ B. van Polen
76′
Nico Serrano 🔁
↦ E. Reijnders
76′
O. Velanas 🔁
↦ Y. Namli
84′
90′
🔁 E. Llansana
↦ E. Linthorst
95′
🟨 Bas Kuipers
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Zwolle

4-2-3-1
1 J. Schendelaar G
2 B. van Polen D
4 S. Kersten D
13 T. Lam D
15 A. MacNulty D
28 Z. Buurmeester M
11 D. van den Berg M
7 Y. Namli M
9 L. Thy M
23 E. Reijnders M
10 F. Druijf F
Bench (11)
14 A. Vellios
19 Nico Serrano
18 O. Velanas
8 D. Huiberts
16 D. Bobson
34 N. Fichtinger
3 L. Görlich
41 D. Verduin
33 D. van der Haar
17 A. Fontana
40 M. Hauptmeijer

Coach: J. Jansen

Go Ahead Eagles

4-2-3-1
1 J. de Lange G
2 M. Deijl D
25 J. Amofa D
4 J. Kramer D
5 B. Kuipers D
8 E. Linthorst M
10 P. Rommens M
29 J. Breum M
18 W. Willumsson M
23 O. Edvardsen M
16 V. Edvardsen F
Bench (12)
3 G. Nauber
9 S. Sow
21 E. Llansana
15 D. James
30 S. Jansen
20 X. Blomme
7 R. Fernandes
26 L. Everink
17 Darío Serra
32 T. Baeten
28 P. Saathof
22 E. Mulder

Coach: R. Hake

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,39
U ✓
3,54
B
2,81
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,64
U2,5 ✓
2,24
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Dieperink · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.