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Champions League
Referee: S Jovanović
Sturm Graz
S S S T U
1–3
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,7
2,3
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,3
This season — Champions League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
5,0
5,0
Scored
1,0
4,0
Conceded
4,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-3,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

34% Possession 66%
14 Shots 20
3 Shots on target 8
4 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 7
2 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 7
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

8. Aug -23 PSV Eindhoven – Sturm Graz 4–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Jovanović · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.