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Champions League
Referee: R Petrescu
PSV Eindhoven
U S S U S
4–1
Full-time
Sturm Graz
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Sturm Graz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
2,0
2,3
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

71% Possession 29%
21 Shots 9
11 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 10
0 Red cards 0

Match report

PSV Eindhoven Sturm Graz
1–0 I. Babadi ⚽
J. Bakayoko
4′
2–0 L. de Jong ⚽
J. Bakayoko
22′
3–0 L. de Jong ⚽
32′
40′
⚽ J. Gorenc Stankovič 3–1
W. Bøving
Patrick van Aanholt ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
45′
Half-time 3–1
46′
🔁 A. Danté
↦ D. Schnegg
61′
🔁 Bryan Teixeira
↦ S. Włodarczyk
I. Saibari 🔁
↦ I. Babadi
65′
70′
🔁 Javi Serrano
↦ S. Hierländer
70′
🔁 T. Horvat
↦ O. Kiteishvili
4–1 I. Sangaré ⚽
J. Veerman
73′
78′
🔁 M. Fuseini
↦ W. Bøving
Y. Vertessen 🔁
↦ J. Bakayoko
84′
R. Pepi 🔁
↦ L. de Jong
84′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
1 W. Benítez G
3 J. Teze D
5 André Ramalho D
18 O. Boscagli D
30 P. van Aanholt D
23 J. Veerman M
6 I. Sangaré M
26 I. Babadi M
11 J. Bakayoko F
9 L. de Jong F
7 N. Lang F
Bench (9)
34 I. Saibari
32 Y. Vertessen
14 R. Pepi
16 J. Drommel
24 B. Waterman
2 S. Sambo
29 P. Mwene
20 G. Til
21 A. El Ghazi

Coach: P. Bosz

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
1 K. Scherpen G
22 J. Gazibegović D
42 D. Affengruber D
5 G. Wüthrich D
28 D. Schnegg D
25 S. Hierländer M
4 J. Gorenc Stankovič M
8 A. Prass M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
15 W. Bøving F
9 S. Włodarczyk F
Bench (12)
44 A. Danté
17 Bryan Teixeira
14 Javi Serrano
19 T. Horvat
29 M. Fuseini
40 M. Bignetti
35 N. Geyrhofer
13 J. Jantscher
2 M. Johnston
31 L. Marić
6 A. Borković
23 V. Demaku

Coach: C. Ilzer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Petrescu · 21 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.