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Eredivisie

Referee: J Kooij

Feyenoord

U T S S S

5–1

Full-time

Excelsior

T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord Excelsior

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

1,8

4,0

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

0,5

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,7

This season — Eredivisie · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 50%

69%

31%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

46%

62%

Both score Ø 54%

46%

62%

Average goals

3,2

3,6

Scored

2,3

1,2

Conceded

0,9

2,5

Goal diff per game

+1,4

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

56% Possession 44%

23 Shots 5

12 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 7

5 Corners 2

0 Offside 4

12 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Feyenoord 3. · Excelsior 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	14	9	3	2	+27	30
2	PSV Eindhoven	14	10	0	4	+22	30
3	Feyenoord	13	9	3	1	+18	30
4	AZ Alkmaar	14	9	2	3	+9	29
5	Twente	12	8	2	2	+16	26
6	Sparta Rotterdam	12	7	2	3	+11	23
7	Utrecht	13	6	3	4	+0	21
8	Heerenveen	13	5	5	3	+2	20
9	Nijmegen	14	3	8	3	+3	17
10	Waalwijk	14	4	5	5	-3	17
11	For Sittard	14	4	3	7	-7	15
12	Go Ahead Eagles	13	3	5	5	-3	14
13	Excelsior	13	4	1	8	-17	13
14	Groningen	14	3	3	8	-12	12
15	Vitesse	13	3	3	7	-13	12
16	FC Emmen	14	2	5	7	-14	11
17	Cambuur	14	2	2	10	-13	8
18	Volendam	14	1	3	10	-26	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Twente	7	6	1	0	+17	19
2	PSV Eindhoven	7	6	0	1	+18	18
3	Sparta Rotterdam	7	5	0	2	+9	15
4	Ajax	7	4	2	1	+19	14
5	Feyenoord	6	4	2	0	+10	14
6	Waalwijk	7	3	2	2	+5	11
7	AZ Alkmaar	6	3	2	1	+2	11
8	Excelsior	6	3	0	3	-3	9
9	Nijmegen	7	1	5	1	+4	8
10	Heerenveen	6	2	2	2	+0	8
11	Go Ahead Eagles	7	2	2	3	-1	8
12	Utrecht	6	2	2	2	-1	8
13	FC Emmen	7	1	5	1	-2	8
14	Groningen	7	2	1	4	-3	7
15	For Sittard	7	2	1	4	-3	7
16	Vitesse	7	1	2	4	-11	5
17	Cambuur	7	1	0	6	-6	3
18	Volendam	7	1	0	6	-13	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	8	6	0	2	+7	18
2	Feyenoord	7	5	1	1	+8	16
3	Ajax	7	5	1	1	+8	16
4	Utrecht	7	4	1	2	+1	13
5	PSV Eindhoven	7	4	0	3	+4	12
6	Heerenveen	7	3	3	1	+2	12
7	Nijmegen	7	2	3	2	-1	9
8	Sparta Rotterdam	5	2	2	1	+2	8
9	For Sittard	7	2	2	3	-4	8
10	Twente	5	2	1	2	-1	7
11	Vitesse	6	2	1	3	-2	7
12	Go Ahead Eagles	6	1	3	2	-2	6
13	Waalwijk	7	1	3	3	-8	6
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	-7	5
15	Groningen	7	1	2	4	-9	5
16	Excelsior	7	1	1	5	-14	4
17	FC Emmen	7	1	0	6	-12	3
18	Volendam	7	0	3	4	-13	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.