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Eredivisie
Referee: Bjorn Kuipers
Excelsior
S S S T S
0–1
Full-time
Feyenoord
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Excelsior Feyenoord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

44% Possession 56%
7 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 6
5 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Excelsior 8. · Feyenoord 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Vitesse 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 VVV Venlo 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Heracles 2 1 1 0 +1 4
4 Utrecht 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Zwolle 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 AZ Alkmaar 2 1 0 1 +1 3
7 PSV Eindhoven 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Excelsior 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Feyenoord 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Heerenveen 2 0 2 0 +0 2
11 Groningen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Willem II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Ajax 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Twente 2 0 0 2 -2 0
15 NAC Breda 1 0 0 1 -3 0
16 Sparta Rotterdam 1 0 0 1 -3 0
17 Roda 2 0 0 2 -4 0
18 Den Haag 2 0 0 2 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Excelsior Feyenoord
18′
J. Boëtius 0–1
T. Vilhena
Wout Faes 🟨
43′
44′
🟨 Steven Berghuis
Half-time 0–1
J. Caenepeel 🔁
↦ K. Vermeulen
67′
79′
🟨 Jan-Arie Van der Heijden
A. Messaoud 🔁
↦ Z. El Azzouzi
80′
A. Hadouir 🔁
↦ R. Koolwijk
80′
83′
🔁 B. Basaçikoglu
↦ S. Berghuis
85′
🔁 S. Amrabat
↦ J. Toornstra
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Excelsior

4-3-3
1 A. Damen G
15 J. Mattheij D
5 M. Massop D
4 W. Faes D
10 L. Bruins F
8 R. Koolwijk M
22 Jeffry Fortes D
6 H. Faik M
18 K. Vermeulen M
11 S. Elbers F
19 Z. El Azzouzi F
Bench (9)
23 J. Caenepeel
14 A. Messaoud
7 A. Hadouir
13 T. te Duits
31 M. Afaker
16 M. Havekotte
21 D. Haspolat
2 K. Karami
17 D. Payne

Coach: M. van der Gaag

Feyenoord

4-3-3
25 B. Jones G
6 J. van der Heijden D
33 Eric Botteghin D
5 R. Haps D
17 K. Diks D
8 K. El Ahmadi M
28 J. Toornstra M
10 T. Vilhena M
9 N. Jørgensen F
19 S. Berghuis F
7 J. Boëtius F
Bench (10)
14 B. Basaçikoglu
21 S. Amrabat
20 R. Tapia
22 J. Bijlow
4 J. St. Juste
34 D. Vente
30 R. ten Hove
29 M. Kramer
39 C. Toure
18 M. Nelom

Coach: G. van Bronckhorst

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Bjorn Kuipers · 97 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.