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Eliteserien
Referee: E Eskås
Rosenborg
S S T S S
2–3
Full-time
Sarpsborg 08
S S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rosenborg Sarpsborg 08
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,7
3,2
Scored
3,0
2,0
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,8
This season — Eliteserien · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 47%
55%
38%
Points per game
1,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 73%
79%
66%
Both score Ø 69%
69%
69%
Average goals
3,7
3,7
Scored
2,3
1,9
Conceded
1,4
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

52% Possession 48%
9 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 7
3 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rosenborg 3. · Sarpsborg 08 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 29 24 3 2 +45 75
2 Bodo/Glimt 29 17 6 6 +43 57
3 Rosenborg 29 16 8 5 +26 56
4 Lillestrom 29 15 5 9 +13 50
5 Valerenga 29 13 5 11 +4 44
6 Odd 29 13 5 11 -2 44
7 Tromso 29 10 12 7 -3 42
8 Sarpsborg 08 29 11 5 13 +2 38
9 Aalesund 29 10 8 11 -13 38
10 Haugesund 29 10 7 12 -4 37
11 Viking 29 9 7 13 -6 34
12 Stromsgodset 29 9 6 14 -9 33
13 Ham-Kam 29 6 13 10 -8 31
14 Sandefjord 29 6 5 18 -26 23
15 Kristiansund 29 5 7 17 -23 22
16 Jerv 29 5 4 20 -39 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rosenborg Sarpsborg 08
6′
T. Heintz 0–1
Samuel Rogers 🟨
21′
Leo Cornic 🟨
26′
30′
🟨 Simon Tibbling
1–1 S. Rogers
V. Jensen
35′
37′
M. Maigaard 1–2
S. Tibbling
Half-time 1–2
Tobias Borkeeiet 🟨
49′
P. Skjelbred 🔁
↦ T. Børkeeiet
59′
M. Broholm 🔁
↦ V. Jensen
59′
K. Ingason 🔁
↦ S. Vecchia
60′
62′
🟨 Anders Hagelskjær
70′
🟨 Ole Jørgen Halvorsen
71′
🟨 Gustav Engvall
72′
🔁 G. Molins
↦ V. Torp
74′
🔁 M. Høyland
↦ S. Tibbling
74′
🔁 S. Skålevik
↦ G. Engvall
A. Pereira 🔁
↦ E. Reitan
77′
78′
🟨 Steffen Skalevik
R. Giampaoli 🔁
↦ E. Tagseth
78′
84′
🔁 E. Wichne
↦ M. Maigaard
84′
🔁 K. Opseth
↦ T. Heintz
2–2 L. Cornic
K. Ingason
90′
94′
L. Cornic 3–2
own goal
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Rosenborg

3-5-2
1 A. Hansen G
2 E. Reitan D
15 S. Rogers D
32 L. Cornic M
7 M. Henriksen D
11 V. Jensen M
8 T. Børkeeiet M
20 E. Tagseth M
41 S. Nypan M
22 S. Vecchia F
17 C. Tengstedt F
Bench (8)
5 P. Skjelbred
39 M. Broholm
80 K. Ingason
19 A. Pereira
18 R. Giampaoli
24 S. Tangvik
16 H. Røsten
44 M. Holte

Coach: K. Rekdal

Sarpsborg 08

4-2-3-1
21 A. Kristiansen G
13 A. Hagelskjær D
7 O. Halvorsen D
18 S. Martinsson-Ngouali D
11 S. Tibbling M
17 J. Soltvedt D
20 A. Salétros M
25 M. Maigaard M
41 T. Heintz M
29 V. Torp M
30 G. Engvall F
Bench (8)
8 G. Molins
6 M. Høyland
15 S. Skålevik
32 E. Wichne
22 K. Opseth
73 Jesper Johansen
2 E. Haug
40 L. Øy

Coach: S. Billborn

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Eskås · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.