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Primeira Liga

Referee: Hélder Carvalho

Casa Pia

S T S S S

1–2

Full-time

Chaves

S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Casa Pia Chaves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,8

Scored

1,2

Conceded

0,7

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,5

This season — Primeira Liga · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 46%

58%

33%

Points per game

1,9

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 29%

25%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

25%

42%

Average goals

1,7

2,2

Scored

1,0

0,9

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%

14 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 0

0 Offside 3

15 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Casa Pia 4. · Chaves 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	12	11	1	0	+28	34
2	Porto	13	9	2	2	+22	29
3	Sp Braga	12	8	1	3	+16	25
4	Casa Pia	12	7	2	3	+4	23
5	Guimaraes	13	7	2	4	+1	23
6	Sp Lisbon	12	7	1	4	+10	22
7	Portimonense	12	6	1	5	-1	19
8	Arouca	13	5	4	4	-5	19
9	Rio Ave	13	5	3	5	-2	18
10	Boavista	13	5	2	6	-9	17
11	Estoril	12	4	4	4	-2	16
12	Chaves	12	4	4	4	-4	16
13	Vizela	13	4	3	6	-2	15
14	Famalicao	12	3	2	7	-6	11
15	Santa Clara	12	2	4	6	-4	10
16	Gil Vicente	12	2	3	7	-8	9
17	Maritimo	13	1	3	9	-19	6
18	Pacos Ferreira	13	0	2	11	-19	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	6	6	0	0	+18	18
2	Guimaraes	7	5	1	1	+4	16
3	Porto	6	5	0	1	+16	15
4	Sp Lisbon	6	5	0	1	+12	15
5	Rio Ave	6	4	0	2	+3	12
6	Boavista	7	3	2	2	-3	11
7	Sp Braga	6	3	1	2	+6	10
8	Casa Pia	6	3	1	2	+2	10
9	Portimonense	6	3	1	2	+0	10
10	Arouca	7	3	1	3	-3	10
11	Famalicao	5	3	0	2	+2	9
12	Chaves	6	1	4	1	+1	7
13	Santa Clara	6	1	3	2	-1	6
14	Gil Vicente	7	1	2	4	-4	5
15	Estoril	6	1	2	3	-6	5
16	Vizela	6	1	1	4	-3	4
17	Maritimo	6	0	2	4	-4	2
18	Pacos Ferreira	7	0	1	6	-11	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	6	5	1	0	+10	16
2	Sp Braga	6	5	0	1	+10	15
3	Porto	7	4	2	1	+6	14
4	Casa Pia	6	4	1	1	+2	13
5	Estoril	6	3	2	1	+4	11
6	Vizela	7	3	2	2	+1	11
7	Portimonense	6	3	0	3	-1	9
8	Arouca	6	2	3	1	-2	9
9	Chaves	6	3	0	3	-5	9
10	Sp Lisbon	6	2	1	3	-2	7
11	Guimaraes	6	2	1	3	-3	7
12	Rio Ave	7	1	3	3	-5	6
13	Boavista	6	2	0	4	-6	6
14	Santa Clara	6	1	1	4	-3	4
15	Gil Vicente	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Maritimo	7	1	1	5	-15	4
17	Famalicao	7	0	2	5	-8	2
18	Pacos Ferreira	6	0	1	5	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.