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Pro League
Referee: L Visser
Standard
S T S T S
2–3
Full-time
St. Gilloise
S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Standard St. Gilloise
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,2
Scored
1,3
2,3
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,5
This season — Pro League · 13/14 matches
Win Ø 67%
54%
79%
Points per game
1,6
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
46%
71%
Both score Ø 47%
23%
71%
Average goals
2,4
3,0
Scored
1,2
2,1
Conceded
1,2
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%
10 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Standard 12. · St. Gilloise 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 14 13 1 0 +30 40
2 St. Gilloise 14 11 2 1 +16 35
3 Antwerp 15 11 1 3 +14 34
4 Club Brugge 15 10 1 4 +15 31
5 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 18 8 4 6 +9 28
6 Gent 14 8 2 4 +11 26
7 St Truiden 18 7 5 6 -1 26
8 Cercle Brugge 15 7 4 4 +4 25
9 Anderlecht 16 7 2 7 +9 23
10 Charleroi 17 7 1 9 -6 22
11 Westerlo 15 6 3 6 +1 21
12 Standard 13 7 0 6 +1 21
13 Mechelen 17 5 3 9 -7 18
14 Oostende 18 5 3 10 -17 18
15 Waregem 18 4 4 10 -15 16
16 Eupen 18 5 1 12 -16 16
17 Kortrijk 17 4 3 10 -14 15
18 Seraing 17 3 2 12 -17 11
19 Seraing United 17 3 2 12 -17 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Standard St. Gilloise
Steven Alzate 🟨
20′
22′
🟨 Ismael Kandouss
23′
D. Vanzeir 0–1
Konstantinos Laifis 🟨
38′
Aron Dønnum 🟨
43′
43′
🟨 Bart Nieuwkoop
Half-time 1–1
1–1 N. Dussenne
53′
65′
C. Burgess 1–2
T. Teuma
D. Drăguş 🔁
↦ S. Perica
70′
G. Cimirot 🔁
↦ S. Alzate
70′
C. Çanak 🔁
↦ N. Dussenne
70′
76′
🟨 Jean Thierry Lazare Amani
82′
🔁 Cameron Puertas
↦ L. Amani
82′
🔁 D. Eckert Ayensa
↦ V. Boniface
N. Ohio 🔁
↦ W. Balikwisha
84′
87′
B. Nieuwkoop 1–3
D. Eckert Ayensa
89′
🔁 S. Adingra
↦ D. Vanzeir
91′
🟨 Senne Lynen
Philip Zinckernagel ℹ️
VAR: Penalty awarded
95′
2–3 P. Zinckernagel
96′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Standard

3-4-3
16 A. Bodart G
6 N. Dussenne D
20 M. Bokadi D
34 K. Laifis D
13 M. Fossey M
14 S. Alzate M
26 N. Raskin M
11 A. Dønnum M
77 P. Zinckernagel F
28 S. Perica F
22 W. Balikwisha F
Bench (7)
7 D. Drăguş
8 G. Cimirot
61 C. Çanak
10 N. Ohio
38 J. Laursen
30 L. Henkinet
21 F. Melegoni

Coach: R. Deila

St. Gilloise

3-5-2
49 A. Moris G
59 I. Kandouss D
16 C. Burgess D
44 S. Van der Heyden D
2 B. Nieuwkoop M
8 L. Amani M
20 S. Lynen M
10 T. Teuma M
94 L. Lapoussin M
13 D. Vanzeir F
7 V. Boniface F
Bench (7)
23 Cameron Puertas
9 D. Eckert Ayensa
11 S. Adingra
21 L. Pirard
26 R. Sykes
6 O. El Azzouzi
19 G. François

Coach: K. Geraerts

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,34
U
3,60
B ✓
2,06
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,74
U2,5
2,05
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Visser · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.