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Eliteserien

Referee: M Grøtta

Lillestrom

S T S T T

3–1

Full-time

Ham-Kam

T U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Ham-Kam

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,7

This season — Eliteserien · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 37%

52%

21%

Points per game

1,7

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

55%

52%

Both score Ø 61%

52%

69%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,6

1,1

Conceded

1,1

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

45% Possession 55%

15 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 6

3 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 6

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lillestrom 4. · Ham-Kam 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	29	24	3	2	+45	75
2	Bodo/Glimt	29	17	6	6	+43	57
3	Rosenborg	29	16	8	5	+26	56
4	Lillestrom	29	15	5	9	+13	50
5	Valerenga	29	13	5	11	+4	44
6	Odd	29	13	5	11	-2	44
7	Tromso	29	10	12	7	-3	42
8	Sarpsborg 08	29	11	5	13	+2	38
9	Aalesund	29	10	8	11	-13	38
10	Haugesund	29	10	7	12	-4	37
11	Viking	29	9	7	13	-6	34
12	Stromsgodset	29	9	6	14	-9	33
13	Ham-Kam	29	6	13	10	-8	31
14	Sandefjord	29	6	5	18	-26	23
15	Kristiansund	29	5	7	17	-23	22
16	Jerv	29	5	4	20	-39	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	14	12	2	0	+24	38
2	Molde	15	12	1	2	+26	37
3	Bodo/Glimt	15	8	6	1	+27	30
4	Valerenga	14	9	2	3	+11	29
5	Tromso	14	8	4	2	+6	28
6	Lillestrom	14	8	2	4	+9	26
7	Odd	15	8	1	6	+4	25
8	Stromsgodset	14	7	2	5	+9	23
9	Aalesund	15	6	5	4	+0	23
10	Haugesund	15	6	4	5	+2	22
11	Sarpsborg 08	15	6	3	6	+3	21
12	Viking	14	5	4	5	+2	19
13	Ham-Kam	15	4	6	5	+0	18
14	Kristiansund	14	4	4	6	-2	16
15	Jerv	15	4	2	9	-14	14
16	Sandefjord	14	1	5	8	-12	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	14	12	2	0	+19	38
2	Bodo/Glimt	14	9	0	5	+16	27
3	Lillestrom	15	7	3	5	+4	24
4	Odd	14	5	4	5	-6	19
5	Rosenborg	15	4	6	5	+2	18
6	Sarpsborg 08	14	5	2	7	-1	17
7	Haugesund	14	4	3	7	-6	15
8	Valerenga	15	4	3	8	-7	15
9	Viking	15	4	3	8	-8	15
10	Aalesund	14	4	3	7	-13	15
11	Sandefjord	15	5	0	10	-14	15
12	Tromso	15	2	8	5	-9	14
13	Ham-Kam	14	2	7	5	-8	13
14	Stromsgodset	15	2	4	9	-18	10
15	Kristiansund	15	1	3	11	-21	6
16	Jerv	14	1	2	11	-25	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.