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Copa del Rey
Referee: César Soto
1–3
Full-time
Vallecano
U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mollerussa Vallecano
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
6,0
2,3
Scored
4,0
1,7
Conceded
2,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

28% Possession 72%
6 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 13
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Villarreal 1 1 0 0 +9 3
2 Mallorca 1 1 0 0 +6 3
3 Levante 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 Algar 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Osasuna 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Albacete 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Elche 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Cacereño 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Espanol 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Mollerussa 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Andorra 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 UD Logroñés 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Valladolid 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Guijuelo 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Gimnastic 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Ibiza 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 CD Coria 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Ath Madrid 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Cazalegas 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Guadalajara 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Velarde 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Saguntino 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Sestao River 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Arenas Getxo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Ceuta 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Fuentes 2 1 0 1 +0 3
28 Alcora 2 1 0 1 +0 3
29 Barbadás 2 1 0 1 -1 3
30 Santa Amalia 2 1 0 1 -8 3
31 Dinamo San Juan 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Montilla 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Gernika 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Leganes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Rincón 2 0 1 1 -3 1
36 Autol 2 0 1 1 -6 1
37 Beasain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Universitario FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Atlético Lugones 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Los Yébenes SB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Ponferradina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Turégano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Amorebieta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Ferrol 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Lugo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Utrera 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Cardassar 1 0 0 1 -2 0
48 Manacor 1 0 0 1 -2 0
49 Navalcarnero 1 0 0 1 -2 0
50 La Coruna 1 0 0 1 -2 0
51 Racing Rioja 1 0 0 1 -2 0
52 Cristo Atlético 1 0 0 1 -2 0
53 Fuenlabrada 1 0 0 1 -2 0
54 Almazán 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -3 0
56 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -3 0
57 Amigó 1 0 0 1 -3 0
58 Huétor Tájar 1 0 0 1 -3 0
59 Cordoba 1 0 0 1 -3 0
60 Olot 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mollerussa Vallecano
23′
Bebé 0–1
1–1 N. Magno
Genís Soldevila
33′
Half-time 1–2
51′
Diego Méndez 1–2
Totti 🔁
↦ Jordi Ars
64′
64′
🔁 Ó. Trejo
↦ R. Nteka
65′
🔁 Isi Palazón
↦ Pablo Muñoz
Jordi Bernat 🔁
↦ Jofre Graells
72′
P. Sousia 🔁
↦ Sasha Litwin
72′
77′
🔁 Álvaro García
↦ Bebé
77′
🔁 Santi Comesaña
↦ Diego Méndez
78′
Sergio Camello 1–3
Ó. Trejo
Albert Delgado 🔁
↦ Guillem
80′
Kiko 🔁
↦ Pau Font
81′
83′
🔁 Unai López
↦ Mario Suárez
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Mollerussa

5-3-2
13 Enric Puiggròs
23 R. Okyere
10 Putxi M
5 N. Magno
21 Sasha Litwin D
15 Jordi Ars M
24 Guillem M
8 Pau Font
17 Genís Soldevila D
7 Adrián Felis
9 Jofre Graells F
Bench (11)
22 Totti
2 Jordi Bernat
19 P. Sousia
11 Albert Delgado
4 Kiko
3 Jordi Fabregat
12 Joel Garrofé
1 Pau Bosch
14 Jordi Pedrós
20 Roger Aleu
16 Taiwo

Coach: Jordi Cortés

Vallecano

4-4-2
13 Diego López G
4 Mario Suárez M
24 E. Saveljich D
16 A. Mumin D
2 Mario Hernández D
15 Pep Chavarría D
11 R. Nteka F
29 Diego Méndez M
28 Pablo Muñoz M
10 Bebé M
34 Sergio Camello F
Bench (11)
8 Ó. Trejo
7 Isi Palazón
18 Álvaro García
6 Santi Comesaña
17 Unai López
20 I. Balliu
9 R. Falcao
30 Miguel Ángel Morro
23 Óscar Valentín
3 Fran García
5 Catena

Coach: Andoni Iraola

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

César Soto · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.