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Copa del Rey
Referee: José Guzmán
Lleida Esportiu
0–1
Full-time
Alaves
S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Villarreal 1 1 0 0 +9 3
2 Mallorca 1 1 0 0 +6 3
3 Celta 1 1 0 0 +5 3
4 Levante 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Osasuna 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Albacete 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Elche 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Cacereño 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Espanol 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Eibar 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 La Nucía 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Andorra 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 UD Logroñés 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Pontevedra 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Valladolid 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Guijuelo 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Gimnastic 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Ibiza 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 CD Coria 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Ath Madrid 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Mirandes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Numancia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Oviedo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Granada 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Cazalegas 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Guadalajara 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Linares Deportivo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Girona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Saguntino 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Sestao River 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Arenas Getxo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Ceuta 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Diocesano 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Cartagena 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Intercity 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Las Palmas 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Mollerussa 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 Fuentes 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 Alcora 2 1 0 1 +0 3
45 Barbadás 2 1 0 1 -1 3
46 Velarde 2 1 0 1 -1 3
47 Algar 2 1 0 1 -2 3
48 Santa Amalia 2 1 0 1 -8 3
49 Juventud Torremolinos 1 0 1 0 +0 1
50 Huesca 1 0 1 0 +0 1
51 Coruxo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
52 Eldense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
53 Dinamo San Juan 1 0 1 0 +0 1
54 Peña Deportiva 1 0 1 0 +0 1
55 Malaga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
56 Atlético Paso 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Real Murcia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Arnedo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Atlético Baleares 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Ourense CF 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Alcorcon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Montilla 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Gernika 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Leganes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Recreativo Huelva 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Burgos 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Rincón 2 0 1 1 -3 1
68 Autol 2 0 1 1 -6 1
69 Beasain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Gimnástica Torrelavega 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Yeclano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Universitario FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Atlético Lugones 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Los Yébenes SB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Ponferradina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Unión Adarve 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Quintanar del Rey 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Turégano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Amorebieta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Ferrol 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Lugo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Utrera 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 Zaragoza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Alfaro 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Cirbonero 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Teruel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Cardassar 1 0 0 1 -2 0
88 Hércules 1 0 0 1 -2 0
89 Manacor 1 0 0 1 -2 0
90 Navalcarnero 1 0 0 1 -2 0
91 Manresa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
92 Rayo Majadahonda 1 0 0 1 -2 0
93 La Coruna 1 0 0 1 -2 0
94 Racing Rioja 1 0 0 1 -2 0
95 Cristo Atlético 1 0 0 1 -2 0
96 Fuenlabrada 1 0 0 1 -2 0
97 Almazán 1 0 0 1 -2 0
98 Lealtad 1 0 0 1 -2 0
99 Vimenor 1 0 0 1 -2 0
100 San Juan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
101 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -3 0
102 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -3 0
103 Amigó 1 0 0 1 -3 0
104 Huétor Tájar 1 0 0 1 -3 0
105 Cordoba 1 0 0 1 -3 0
106 Las Rozas 1 0 0 1 -3 0
107 Olot 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lleida Esportiu Alaves
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Javi López
↦ Rubén Duarte
46′
🔁 Salva Sevilla
↦ Álex Balboa
47′
⚽ T. Hara 0–1
Salva Sevilla
Q. Liameed 🔁
↦ A. Mejía
57′
Joan Monterde 🔁
↦ Óscar Rubio
57′
D. Svityukha 🟨
63′
Chuli 🔁
↦ A. Bakayoko
65′
David López 🔁
↦ D. Svityukha
65′
65′
🔁 A. Sedlar
↦ A. Rebbach
65′
🔁 A. Mahmoud
↦ Imanol Baz
Thiaguinho 🔁
↦ Roger Figueras
78′
82′
🟨 R. Gonzalez
85′
🔁 Jason
↦ Róber
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Lleida Esportiu

1 Ramón Vila
12 Óscar Rubio
3 Nani
4 Arnau Gaixas
5 Roger Figueras
2 Adrià Pladevall
6 Toni Vicente
19 A. Mejía
9 Adrià de Mesa
7 A. Bakayoko
11 D. Svityukha
Bench (11)
30 Q. Liameed
18 Joan Monterde
10 Chuli
17 David López
26 Thiaguinho
13 Iñaki Álvarez
20 D. Goncharuk
21 Juan Agüero
8 L. Mettler
23 Alejandro Yepes
14 Joni de Oliveira

Coach: Pere Martí

Alaves

31 Jesús Owono
5 Laguardia
3 Rubén Duarte
2 A. Arroyo
32 Imanol Baz
23 C. Benavídez
20 Róber
28 Álex Balboa
24 T. Hara
17 Xeber Alkain
21 A. Rebbach
Bench (11)
27 Javi López
8 Salva Sevilla
4 A. Sedlar
29 A. Mahmoud
10 Jason
6 Toni Moya
22 A. Abqar
9 Miguel de la Fuente
1 Sivera
11 Luis Rioja
14 N. Tenaglia

Coach: Luis García

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

Referee

José Guzmán · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.