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Eliteserien
Referee: R Saggi
Tromso
S S U U S
2–2
Full-time
Aalesund
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Aalesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
This season — Eliteserien · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 34%
34%
34%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
59%
59%
Both score Ø 64%
76%
52%
Average goals
3,1
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

57% Possession 43%
12 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 1
4 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tromso 7. · Aalesund 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 29 24 3 2 +45 75
2 Bodo/Glimt 29 17 6 6 +43 57
3 Rosenborg 29 16 8 5 +26 56
4 Lillestrom 29 15 5 9 +13 50
5 Valerenga 29 13 5 11 +4 44
6 Odd 29 13 5 11 -2 44
7 Tromso 29 10 12 7 -3 42
8 Sarpsborg 08 29 11 5 13 +2 38
9 Aalesund 29 10 8 11 -13 38
10 Haugesund 29 10 7 12 -4 37
11 Viking 29 9 7 13 -6 34
12 Stromsgodset 29 9 6 14 -9 33
13 Ham-Kam 29 6 13 10 -8 31
14 Sandefjord 29 6 5 18 -26 23
15 Kristiansund 29 5 7 17 -23 22
16 Jerv 29 5 4 20 -39 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tromso Aalesund
1–0 W. Kamanzi
12′
19′
T. Kallevåg 1–1
John Kitolano
35′
E. Moses 1–2
S. Rafn
43′
🟨 Simen Rafn
Half-time 1–2
R. Norheim 🔁
↦ F. Winther
62′
68′
🔁 B. Kristensen
↦ E. Moses
68′
🔁 S. Nordli
↦ G. Koomson
68′
🔁 K. Ødemarksbakken
↦ T. Kallevåg
78′
🟨 Simen Bolkan Nordli
80′
🟨 Bjorn Martin Kristensen
2–2 A. Mikkelsen
W. Kamanzi
85′
Eric Kitolano 🟨
92′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Tromso

3-4-3
1 J. Haugaard G
28 C. Psyché D
4 J. Gundersen D
14 W. Kamanzi M
8 K. Antonsen D
25 L. Nilsen M
17 E. Kitolano F
22 S. Opsahl M
7 F. Winther M
10 A. Mikkelsen F
9 L. Nordås F
Bench (9)
23 R. Norheim
24 D. Bassi
26 I. Vik
18 E. Aarflot
21 T. Hafstad
27 J. Hjertø-Dahl
6 M. Ceide
5 A. Jenssen
12 S. Thomas

Coach: G. Helstrup

Aalesund

5-4-1
1 S. Grytebust G
5 D. Fällman D
33 S. Rafn D
16 John Kitolano D
18 N. Hopland D
10 K. Barmen D
14 T. Kallevåg M
6 E. Segberg M
7 Nenass M
23 G. Koomson M
21 E. Moses F
Bench (8)
29 B. Kristensen
11 S. Nordli
15 K. Ødemarksbakken
38 U. Syversen
13 M. Lansing
3 J. Moe
37 H. Melland
20 O. Solnørdal

Coach: L. Nilsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Saggi · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.