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Premier League
Referee: P Tierney
Fulham
U S S U T
1–2
Full-time
Man United
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fulham Man United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
This season — Premier League · 14/13 matches
Win Ø 45%
36%
54%
Points per game
1,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
86%
54%
Both score Ø 67%
79%
54%
Average goals
3,4
2,8
Scored
1,6
1,4
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%
14 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 9
2 Blocked shots 2
8 Goalkeeper saves 6
10 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fulham 9. · Man United 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Arsenal 14 12 1 1 +22 37
2 Man City 14 10 2 2 +26 32
3 Newcastle 15 8 6 1 +18 30
4 Tottenham 15 9 2 4 +10 29
5 Man United 13 7 2 4 -1 23
6 Liverpool 14 6 4 4 +11 22
7 Brighton 14 6 3 5 +4 21
8 Chelsea 14 6 3 5 +0 21
9 Fulham 14 5 4 5 -1 19
10 Brentford 15 4 7 4 -2 19
11 Crystal Palace 14 5 4 5 -3 19
12 Aston Villa 15 5 3 7 -6 18
13 Leicester 15 5 2 8 +0 17
14 Bournemouth 15 4 4 7 -14 16
15 Leeds 14 4 3 7 -4 15
16 West Ham 15 4 2 9 -5 14
17 Everton 15 3 5 7 -6 14
18 Nott'm Forest 15 3 4 8 -19 13
19 Southampton 15 3 3 9 -14 12
20 Wolves 15 2 4 9 -16 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fulham Man United
14′
C. Eriksen 0–1
Bobby Reid 🟨
33′
Half-time 0–1
55′
🔁 S. McTominay
↦ A. Elanga
D. James 🔁
↦ H. Wilson
59′
1–1 D. James
61′
72′
🔁 A. Garnacho
↦ A. Martial
J. Onomah 🔁
↦ T. Cairney
91′
93′
A. Garnacho 1–2
C. Eriksen
94′
🟨 Alejandro Garnacho
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Fulham

4-2-3-1
17 B. Leno G
14 B. De Cordova-Reid D
31 I. Diop D
13 T. Ream D
33 A. Robinson D
26 João Palhinha M
10 T. Cairney M
8 H. Wilson M
18 Andreas Pereira M
20 Willian M
30 Carlos Vinícius F
Bench (9)
21 D. James
25 J. Onomah
38 L. Harris
1 M. Rodák
27 K. Mbabu
4 T. Adarabioyo
12 N. Chalobah
45 K. Šekularac
5 S. Duffy

Coach: Marco Silva

Man United

4-2-3-1
1 David de Gea G
12 T. Malacia D
2 V. Lindelöf D
6 Lisandro Martínez D
23 L. Shaw D
18 Casemiro M
14 C. Eriksen M
36 A. Elanga M
8 Bruno Fernandes M
10 M. Rashford M
9 A. Martial F
Bench (8)
39 S. McTominay
49 A. Garnacho
5 H. Maguire
17 Fred
55 Zidane Iqbal
34 D. van de Beek
30 N. Bishop
31 M. Dúbravka

Coach: E. ten Hag

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,91
U
3,88
B ✓
1,89
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,63
U2,5
2,28
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Tierney · 131 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.