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Bundesliga

Referee: D Aytekin

Freiburg

U S U S T

4–1

Full-time

Union Berlin

S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Freiburg Union Berlin

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,5

This season — Bundesliga · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 57%

57%

Points per game

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 43%

36%

50%

Average goals

2,6

2,8

Scored

1,5

1,6

Conceded

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

73% Possession 27%

7 Shots 4

5 Shots on target 2

0 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 1

13 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Freiburg 5. · Union Berlin 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	15	10	4	1	+36	34
2	RB Leipzig	15	8	4	3	+9	28
3	Ein Frankfurt	15	8	3	4	+8	27
4	Union Berlin	14	8	3	3	+7	27
5	Freiburg	14	8	3	3	+5	27
6	Dortmund	15	8	1	6	+4	25
7	Wolfsburg	15	6	5	4	+4	23
8	M'gladbach	15	6	4	5	+4	22
9	Werder Bremen	15	6	3	6	-2	21
10	Mainz	15	5	4	6	-5	19
11	Hoffenheim	15	5	3	7	+0	18
12	Leverkusen	15	5	3	7	-1	18
13	FC Koln	15	4	5	6	-8	17
14	Augsburg	15	4	3	8	-8	15
15	Hertha	15	3	5	7	-3	14
16	Stuttgart	15	3	5	7	-9	14
17	Bochum	15	4	1	10	-22	13
18	Schalke 04	15	2	3	10	-19	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	7	6	1	0	+14	19
2	M'gladbach	8	6	0	2	+10	18
3	Bayern Munich	7	5	2	0	+20	17
4	Union Berlin	7	5	2	0	+8	17
5	Dortmund	7	5	1	1	+10	16
6	Ein Frankfurt	8	4	1	3	+5	13
7	Freiburg	6	4	1	1	+4	13
8	Wolfsburg	7	3	3	1	+5	12
9	Leverkusen	8	3	2	3	+6	11
10	FC Koln	7	3	2	2	+2	11
11	Stuttgart	8	3	2	3	+1	11
12	Werder Bremen	8	3	1	4	+1	10
13	Hertha	8	2	4	2	+1	10
14	Hoffenheim	8	3	1	4	-1	10
15	Bochum	7	3	1	3	-5	10
16	Mainz	7	1	4	2	-1	7
17	Schalke 04	8	2	1	5	-10	7
18	Augsburg	8	1	2	5	-8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	8	5	2	1	+16	17
2	Ein Frankfurt	7	4	2	1	+3	14
3	Freiburg	8	4	2	2	+1	14
4	Mainz	8	4	0	4	-4	12
5	Wolfsburg	8	3	2	3	-1	11
6	Werder Bremen	7	3	2	2	-3	11
7	Augsburg	7	3	1	3	+0	10
8	Union Berlin	7	3	1	3	-1	10
9	RB Leipzig	8	2	3	3	-5	9
10	Dortmund	8	3	0	5	-6	9
11	Hoffenheim	7	2	2	3	+1	8
12	Leverkusen	7	2	1	4	-7	7
13	FC Koln	8	1	3	4	-10	6
14	Hertha	7	1	1	5	-4	4
15	M'gladbach	7	0	4	3	-6	4
16	Stuttgart	7	0	3	4	-10	3
17	Bochum	8	1	0	7	-17	3
18	Schalke 04	7	0	2	5	-9	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.