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Super League
Referee: G Nyberg
Olympiakos
U S T U S
0–0
Full-time
AEK
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos AEK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,8
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 9%
0%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,8
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
0,7
0,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,7
This season — Super League · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 66%
54%
77%
Points per game
1,8
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
38%
31%
Both score Ø 39%
54%
23%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,9
Conceded
0,8
0,4
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%
8 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 7
2 Offside 4
18 Free kicks against 24
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Olympiakos 4. · AEK 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Panathinaikos 14 13 1 0 +21 40
2 AEK 13 10 1 2 +20 31
3 Volos NFC 13 8 3 2 +7 27
4 Olympiakos 13 7 3 3 +9 24
5 PAOK 13 6 5 2 +6 23
6 Aris Thessalonikis 13 6 3 4 +9 21
7 Aris 13 6 3 4 +9 21
8 Panetolikos 14 5 4 5 +3 19
9 Atromitos 14 4 4 6 -1 16
10 Asteras Tripolis 13 1 7 5 -6 10
11 Lamia 14 1 6 7 -19 9
12 Giannina 14 2 3 9 -20 9
13 OFI Crete 13 1 5 7 -12 8
14 Levadeiakos 13 1 4 8 -12 7
15 Ionikos 13 1 4 8 -14 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. May -22 AEK – Olympiakos 2–3 3. Apr -22 Olympiakos – AEK 1–1 13. Feb -22 Olympiakos – AEK 1–0 21. Nov -21 AEK – Olympiakos 2–3 25. Apr -21 Olympiakos – AEK 2–0

Match report

Olympiakos AEK
40′
🟨 Nordin Amrabat
Half-time 0–0
James Rodríguez ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
60′
Garry Rodrigues 🔁
↦ G. Masouras
61′
72′
🟨 Harold Moukoudi
75′
🔁 T. van Weert
↦ N. Amrabat
Oleg Reabciuk 🟨
79′
81′
🔁 P. Mantalos
↦ O. Pineda
Y. El-Arabi 🔁
↦ C. Bakambu
82′
M. Vrousai 🔁
↦ Pep Biel
82′
86′
🟨 Sergio Araujo
A. Camara 🔁
↦ Pipa
89′
K. Fortounis 🔁
↦ J. Rodríguez
89′
Sokratis 🟨
90′
Yann M'Vila 🟨
98′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
91 A. Paschalakis G
26 Pipa D
15 S. Papastathopoulos D
74 A. Ntoi D
45 O. Reabciuk D
6 Y. M'Vila M
33 Hwang In-Beom M
21 Pep Biel M
10 J. Rodríguez M
19 G. Masouras M
94 C. Bakambu F
Bench (9)
77 Garry Rodrigues
11 Y. El-Arabi
17 M. Vrousai
22 A. Camara
7 K. Fortounis
5 A. Bouchalakis
4 P. Retsos
38 D. Samassékou
88 K. Tzolakis

Coach: Míchel

AEK

4-1-3-2
30 G. Athanasiadis G
12 L. Rota D
21 D. Vida D
2 H. Moukoudi D
3 M. Mohammadi D
6 J. Jønsson M
5 N. Amrabat M
13 O. Pineda M
8 M. Gaćinović M
7 L. Garcia F
11 S. Araújo F
Bench (9)
9 T. van Weert
20 P. Mantalos
24 G. Mitoglou
1 C. Stanković
14 A. Fransson
25 K. Galanopoulos
29 D. Sidibé
28 E. Hajisafi
31 G. Tzavellas

Coach: M. Almeyda

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,27
🔒
U ✓
3,20
🔒
B
3,12
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,13
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,68
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Nyberg · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.