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Copa del Rey
Referee: Antonio Monter
Cirbonero
0–1
Full-time
Intercity

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Villarreal 1 1 0 0 +9 3
2 Mallorca 1 1 0 0 +6 3
3 Levante 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 Algar 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Osasuna 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Albacete 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Elche 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Cacereño 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Espanol 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Eibar 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 La Nucía 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Andorra 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 UD Logroñés 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Pontevedra 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Valladolid 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Guijuelo 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Gimnastic 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Ibiza 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 CD Coria 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Ath Madrid 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Mirandes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Oviedo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Cazalegas 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Guadalajara 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Linares Deportivo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Girona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Velarde 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Saguntino 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Sestao River 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Arenas Getxo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Ceuta 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Diocesano 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Cartagena 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Mollerussa 2 1 0 1 +0 3
39 Fuentes 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 Alcora 2 1 0 1 +0 3
41 Barbadás 2 1 0 1 -1 3
42 Santa Amalia 2 1 0 1 -8 3
43 Juventud Torremolinos 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 Huesca 1 0 1 0 +0 1
45 Dinamo San Juan 1 0 1 0 +0 1
46 Peña Deportiva 1 0 1 0 +0 1
47 Malaga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
48 Atlético Paso 1 0 1 0 +0 1
49 Real Murcia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
50 Arnedo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
51 Atlético Baleares 1 0 1 0 +0 1
52 Montilla 1 0 1 0 +0 1
53 Gernika 1 0 1 0 +0 1
54 Leganes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
55 Recreativo Huelva 1 0 1 0 +0 1
56 Burgos 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Rincón 2 0 1 1 -3 1
58 Autol 2 0 1 1 -6 1
59 Beasain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Gimnástica Torrelavega 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Universitario FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Atlético Lugones 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Los Yébenes SB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Ponferradina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Unión Adarve 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Quintanar del Rey 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Turégano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Amorebieta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Ferrol 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Lugo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Utrera 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Zaragoza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Alfaro 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Cardassar 1 0 0 1 -2 0
75 Hércules 1 0 0 1 -2 0
76 Manacor 1 0 0 1 -2 0
77 Navalcarnero 1 0 0 1 -2 0
78 Manresa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
79 Rayo Majadahonda 1 0 0 1 -2 0
80 La Coruna 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 Racing Rioja 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Cristo Atlético 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Fuenlabrada 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Almazán 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Lealtad 1 0 0 1 -2 0
86 Vimenor 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -3 0
88 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -3 0
89 Amigó 1 0 0 1 -3 0
90 Huétor Tájar 1 0 0 1 -3 0
91 Cordoba 1 0 0 1 -3 0
92 Las Rozas 1 0 0 1 -3 0
93 Olot 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
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U1,5 ✓
–
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O2,5
–
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U2,5 ✓
–
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O3,5
–
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U3,5 ✓
–
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Both teams to score
BLS ja
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BLS nei ✓
–
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Recent matches

No matches played yet.

No matches played yet.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.