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Superligaen
Referee: Morten Krogh
Nordsjaelland
U S S U S
5–1
Full-time
Aalborg
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nordsjaelland Aalborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
2,2
3,5
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
0,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,2
This season — Superligaen · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 38%
56%
19%
Points per game
2,0
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
31%
50%
Both score Ø 57%
50%
63%
Average goals
2,3
2,4
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%
14 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 3
3 Offside 3
7 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nordsjaelland 1. · Aalborg 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Nordsjaelland 16 9 5 2 +12 32
2 Viborg 17 9 5 3 +9 32
3 FC Copenhagen 17 8 3 6 +8 27
4 Silkeborg 17 7 3 7 +2 24
5 Odense 17 6 6 5 -2 24
6 Randers FC 16 6 5 5 -3 23
7 Midtjylland 16 5 7 4 +2 22
8 Aarhus 17 6 4 7 +1 22
9 Horsens 17 6 4 7 +0 22
10 Brondby 17 5 6 6 -5 21
11 Aalborg 16 3 5 8 -7 14
12 Lyngby 17 1 5 11 -17 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

14. Aug -22 Aalborg – Nordsjaelland 0–0 31. Oct -21 Nordsjaelland – Aalborg 0–2 27. Aug -21 Aalborg – Nordsjaelland 2–1 28. Feb -21 Nordsjaelland – Aalborg 2–2 22. Nov -20 Aalborg – Nordsjaelland 1–1

Match report

Nordsjaelland Aalborg
32′
🟨 Andreas Poulsen
Half-time 1–0
1–0 R. Ascone ⚽
M. Diomandé
46′
2–0 A. Schjelderup ⚽
J. Christensen
46′
B. Nygren 🔁
↦ R. Ascone
58′
58′
🔁 J. Pedersen
↦ A. Poulsen
66′
🔁 L. Andersen
↦ Pedro Ferreira
66′
🔁 K. Høgh
↦ M. Ramkilde
3–0 M. Diomandé ⚽
E. Nuamah
69′
74′
⚽ I. Fossum 3–1
L. Andersen
M. Dorgeles 🔁
↦ M. Bidstrup
77′
79′
🟨 Lucas Andersen
79′
🔁 M. Højholt
↦ L. Prip
4–1 A. Nagalo ⚽
B. Nygren
83′
W. Faghir 🔁
↦ E. Nuamah
86′
O. Antman 🔁
↦ A. Schjelderup
86′
E. Marxen 🔁
↦ D. Svensson
86′
Adamo Nagalo 🟨
90′
5–1 W. Faghir ⚽
M. Dorgeles
90′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Nordsjaelland

4-3-3
13 A. Hansen G
23 O. Villadsen D
4 K. Hansen D
39 A. Nagalo D
27 D. Svensson D
18 M. Bidstrup M
6 J. Christensen M
10 M. Diomandé M
36 R. Ascone F
37 E. Nuamah F
7 A. Schjelderup F
Bench (9)
9 B. Nygren
29 M. Dorgeles
21 W. Faghir
22 O. Antman
15 E. Marxen
11 M. Hansen
33 L. Walta
31 A. Gülstorff
3 U. Yttergård Jenssen

Coach: F. Pedersen

Aalborg

5-4-1
22 T. Sander G
32 K. Ludewig D
5 D. Granli D
4 L. Kramer D
2 K. Pallesen D
25 A. Poulsen D
18 L. Prip M
8 I. Fossum M
6 Pedro Ferreira M
7 Allan Sousa M
29 M. Ramkilde F
Bench (6)
28 J. Pedersen
10 L. Andersen
39 K. Høgh
14 M. Højholt
41 O. Linnér
19 A. Ementa

Coach: E. Hamrén

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Morten Krogh · 27 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.