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Eredivisie

Referee: R Hensgens

Excelsior

U T S S T

0–1

Full-time

Heerenveen

T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Excelsior Heerenveen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

4,0

2,7

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

2,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,3

This season — Eredivisie · 12/11 matches

Win Ø 30%

33%

27%

Points per game

1,1

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

67%

45%

Both score Ø 52%

67%

36%

Average goals

3,8

2,0

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

2,6

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,0

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%

11 Shots 8

1 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Excelsior 12. · Heerenveen 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	11	9	1	1	+28	28
2	PSV Eindhoven	12	9	0	3	+22	27
3	AZ Alkmaar	12	8	2	2	+10	26
4	Twente	11	8	1	2	+16	25
5	Feyenoord	11	7	3	1	+15	24
6	Sparta Rotterdam	12	7	2	3	+11	23
7	Utrecht	11	4	3	4	-5	15
8	Waalwijk	12	3	5	4	+0	14
9	Heerenveen	11	3	5	3	+0	14
10	Nijmegen	13	2	8	3	-2	14
11	Go Ahead Eagles	12	3	4	5	-3	13
12	Excelsior	12	4	1	7	-16	13
13	For Sittard	13	3	3	7	-8	12
14	Groningen	12	3	3	6	-10	12
15	Vitesse	12	3	2	7	-13	11
16	FC Emmen	13	2	4	7	-14	10
17	Cambuur	12	2	2	8	-11	8
18	Volendam	12	1	3	8	-20	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	6	6	0	0	+19	18
2	Twente	6	6	0	0	+17	18
3	Sparta Rotterdam	7	5	0	2	+9	15
4	Ajax	5	4	1	0	+20	13
5	Feyenoord	5	3	2	0	+9	11
6	AZ Alkmaar	6	3	2	1	+2	11
7	Excelsior	5	3	0	2	-2	9
8	Waalwijk	6	2	2	2	+3	8
9	Go Ahead Eagles	7	2	2	3	-1	8
10	Groningen	6	2	1	3	-2	7
11	FC Emmen	6	1	4	1	-2	7
12	For Sittard	7	2	1	4	-3	7
13	Nijmegen	6	0	5	1	-1	5
14	Heerenveen	5	1	2	2	-1	5
15	Utrecht	5	1	2	2	-2	5
16	Vitesse	7	1	2	4	-11	5
17	Cambuur	7	1	0	6	-6	3
18	Volendam	5	1	0	4	-7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	6	5	0	1	+8	15
2	AZ Alkmaar	6	5	0	1	+8	15
3	Feyenoord	6	4	1	1	+6	13
4	Utrecht	6	3	1	2	-3	10
5	PSV Eindhoven	6	3	0	3	+3	9
6	Heerenveen	6	2	3	1	+1	9
7	Nijmegen	7	2	3	2	-1	9
8	Sparta Rotterdam	5	2	2	1	+2	8
9	Twente	5	2	1	2	-1	7
10	Vitesse	5	2	0	3	-2	6
11	Waalwijk	6	1	3	2	-3	6
12	Go Ahead Eagles	5	1	2	2	-2	5
13	For Sittard	6	1	2	3	-5	5
14	Cambuur	5	1	2	2	-5	5
15	Groningen	6	1	2	3	-8	5
16	Excelsior	7	1	1	5	-14	4
17	FC Emmen	7	1	0	6	-12	3
18	Volendam	7	0	3	4	-13	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.