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Eredivisie
Referee: R Martens
Twente
S T S S U
0–2
Full-time
Waalwijk
U U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Waalwijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,3
Scored
2,5
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 34%
56%
11%
Points per game
2,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
56%
44%
Both score Ø 61%
78%
44%
Average goals
3,3
2,4
Scored
2,3
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

54% Possession 46%
14 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 8
1 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Twente 5. · Waalwijk 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 9 8 0 1 +32 24
2 Vitesse 9 7 1 1 +12 22
3 PSV Eindhoven 9 6 2 1 +14 20
4 Feyenoord 8 6 2 0 +12 20
5 Twente 9 5 3 1 +12 18
6 Heerenveen 9 5 2 2 +5 17
7 AZ Alkmaar 8 3 5 0 +7 14
8 Groningen 9 4 2 3 -1 14
9 Utrecht 8 2 4 2 -3 10
10 Sparta Rotterdam 8 2 2 4 -2 8
11 Zwolle 9 1 5 3 -5 8
12 Willem II 9 2 2 5 -8 8
13 Heracles 9 2 2 5 -9 8
14 VVV Venlo 9 2 2 5 -14 8
15 Waalwijk 9 1 3 5 -10 6
16 Den Haag 9 1 1 7 -18 4
17 FC Emmen 9 0 3 6 -11 3
18 For Sittard 9 0 3 6 -13 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Twente Waalwijk
22′
C. Ngonge 0–1
O. John
30′
F. Stokkers 0–2
O. John
Half-time 0–2
L. Ilić 🔁
↦ J. Bosch
46′
46′
🔁 L. Daneels
↦ O. John
Julio Pleguezuelo 🟨
63′
R. Zerrouki 🔁
↦ G. Roemeratoe
63′
A. Jeremejeff 🔁
↦ Danilo
63′
L. Lamprou 🔁
↦ H. Dervişoğlu
63′
Ramiz Zerrouki 🟨
67′
70′
🔁 A. Azhil
↦ A. Tahiri
Kik Pierie 🟨
76′
83′
🔁 J. Gaari
↦ C. Ngonge
83′
🔁 T. Lutonda
↦ P. Quasten
89′
🔁 H. Mulder
↦ F. Stokkers
Václav Černý 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Twente

4-3-3
16 J. Drommel G
4 Julio Pleguezuelo D
23 T. Ebuehi D
15 K. Pierie D
5 G. Smal D
6 W. Brama M
20 G. Roemeratoe M
32 J. Bosch M
7 V. Černý F
21 H. Dervişoğlu F
9 Danilo F
Bench (12)
8 L. Ilić
19 R. Zerrouki
14 A. Jeremejeff
10 L. Lamprou
35 M. Hilgers
38 M. Bruns
40 C. Staring
39 D. Rots
30 E. van der Gouw
18 L. Selahi
22 J. de Lange
37 T. van Leeuwen

Coach: R. Jans

Waalwijk

4-3-3
31 K. Lamprou G
5 P. Quasten D
59 A. Touba D
3 M. Meulensteen D
4 V. Anita M
10 R. van der Venne M
8 A. Tahiri M
11 O. John F
9 F. Stokkers F
28 S. Bakari D
7 C. Ngonge F
Bench (10)
21 L. Daneels
16 A. Azhil
2 J. Gaari
20 T. Lutonda
12 H. Mulder
1 E. Vaessen
15 L. Nieuwpoort
99 V. Damaşcan
22 M. Grim
6 N. Olsak

Coach: F. Grim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,42
U
4,86
B ✓
6,60
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,48
U2,5 ✓
2,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Martens · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.