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Eredivisie

Referee: J Manschot

Waalwijk

S U S U T

1–4

Full-time

Ajax

U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waalwijk Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

5,3

Scored

1,7

2,7

Conceded

1,3

2,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,0

This season — Eredivisie · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 55%

30%

80%

Points per game

1,4

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

60%

70%

Both score Ø 65%

70%

60%

Average goals

3,4

4,3

Scored

2,0

3,4

Conceded

1,4

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+2,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

37% Possession 63%

14 Shots 17

4 Shots on target 8

4 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 7

2 Offside 5

7 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Waalwijk 7. · Ajax 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	10	8	1	1	+25	25
2	PSV Eindhoven	10	8	0	2	+21	24
3	Feyenoord	11	7	3	1	+15	24
4	AZ Alkmaar	10	7	2	1	+10	23
5	Twente	9	6	1	2	+12	19
6	Sparta Rotterdam	10	5	2	3	+5	17
7	Waalwijk	10	3	5	2	+6	14
8	For Sittard	11	3	3	5	-5	12
9	Utrecht	10	3	3	4	-6	12
10	Heerenveen	9	2	5	2	-1	11
11	Nijmegen	10	1	7	2	+0	10
12	Excelsior	10	3	1	6	-15	10
13	Go Ahead Eagles	10	2	3	5	-5	9
14	Cambuur	10	2	2	6	-9	8
15	Vitesse	10	2	2	6	-10	8
16	Groningen	10	2	2	6	-12	8
17	FC Emmen	10	1	3	6	-14	6
18	Volendam	10	1	3	6	-17	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	5	5	0	0	+16	15
2	Twente	5	5	0	0	+14	15
3	Ajax	5	4	1	0	+20	13
4	Sparta Rotterdam	6	4	0	2	+7	12
5	Feyenoord	5	3	2	0	+9	11
6	Waalwijk	5	2	2	1	+6	8
7	AZ Alkmaar	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	For Sittard	6	2	1	3	-2	7
9	FC Emmen	5	1	3	1	-2	6
10	Excelsior	4	2	0	2	-3	6
11	Heerenveen	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Utrecht	5	1	2	2	-2	5
13	Go Ahead Eagles	6	1	2	3	-3	5
14	Nijmegen	5	0	4	1	-1	4
15	Groningen	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Cambuur	5	1	0	4	-4	3
17	Volendam	4	1	0	3	-5	3
18	Vitesse	5	0	2	3	-8	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	5	5	0	0	+9	15
2	Feyenoord	6	4	1	1	+6	13
3	Ajax	5	4	0	1	+5	12
4	PSV Eindhoven	5	3	0	2	+5	9
5	Utrecht	5	2	1	2	-4	7
6	Nijmegen	5	1	3	1	+1	6
7	Waalwijk	5	1	3	1	+0	6
8	Heerenveen	5	1	3	1	-1	6
9	Vitesse	5	2	0	3	-2	6
10	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	2	1	-2	5
11	For Sittard	5	1	2	2	-3	5
12	Cambuur	5	1	2	2	-5	5
13	Go Ahead Eagles	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Twente	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Groningen	5	1	1	3	-8	4
16	Excelsior	6	1	1	4	-12	4
17	Volendam	6	0	3	3	-12	3
18	FC Emmen	5	0	0	5	-12	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.