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Eredivisie

Referee: Edwin Van de Graaf

Go Ahead Eagles

T T S T U

3–0

Full-time

Excelsior

T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Go Ahead Eagles Excelsior

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,3

This season — Eredivisie · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 29%

14%

43%

Points per game

0,7

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

57%

71%

Both score Ø 58%

29%

86%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

0,9

1,6

Conceded

1,9

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

55% Possession 45%

12 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 6

0 Offside 2

18 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Go Ahead Eagles 16. · Excelsior 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	7	7	0	0	+19	21
2	PSV Eindhoven	8	5	2	1	+11	17
3	Ajax	7	5	1	1	+11	16
4	Heerenveen	7	4	2	1	+8	14
5	Vitesse	8	4	1	3	+4	13
6	Twente	7	4	0	3	+2	12
7	AZ Alkmaar	6	3	2	1	+5	11
8	Sparta Rotterdam	7	3	1	3	+0	10
9	Excelsior	7	3	1	3	-1	10
10	Den Haag	8	3	1	4	-4	10
11	Nijmegen	8	2	3	3	-6	9
12	Heracles	7	1	3	3	-3	6
13	Groningen	8	1	3	4	-5	6
14	Willem II	7	1	3	3	-6	6
15	Utrecht	5	1	2	2	-3	5
16	Go Ahead Eagles	7	1	2	4	-7	5
17	Zwolle	8	1	2	5	-13	5
18	Roda	8	0	3	5	-12	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	4	4	0	0	+12	12
2	Twente	4	3	0	1	+5	9
3	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	2	0	+4	8
4	Ajax	4	2	1	1	+4	7
5	Heerenveen	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Vitesse	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Excelsior	4	2	0	2	+1	6
8	Sparta Rotterdam	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Nijmegen	4	1	2	1	-3	5
10	Den Haag	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	PSV Eindhoven	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Go Ahead Eagles	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Zwolle	5	1	1	3	-8	4
14	Heracles	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Utrecht	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Willem II	3	0	2	1	-3	2
17	Groningen	4	0	2	2	-6	2
18	Roda	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	5	4	1	0	+11	13
2	Ajax	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	Feyenoord	3	3	0	0	+7	9
4	Heerenveen	4	2	1	1	+5	7
5	Vitesse	4	2	0	2	+2	6
6	Den Haag	5	2	0	3	-4	6
7	Groningen	4	1	1	2	+1	4
8	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	1	2	-1	4
9	Excelsior	3	1	1	1	-2	4
10	Willem II	4	1	1	2	-3	4
11	Nijmegen	4	1	1	2	-3	4
12	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Heracles	4	0	3	1	-2	3
14	Twente	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	Utrecht	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Roda	4	0	2	2	-7	2
17	Zwolle	3	0	1	2	-5	1
18	Go Ahead Eagles	4	0	1	3	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.