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Eredivisie

Referee: Richard Martens

Excelsior

S T T T S

3–3

Full-time

Utrecht

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Excelsior Utrecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,0

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

4,3

2,8

Scored

1,3

2,3

Conceded

3,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

-1,7

+1,8

This season — Eredivisie · 13/12 matches

Win Ø 41%

31%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

62%

50%

Both score Ø 56%

62%

50%

Average goals

3,8

2,6

Scored

1,5

1,6

Conceded

2,4

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,9

+0,6

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

52% Possession 48%

11 Shots 21

4 Shots on target 9

2 Blocked shots 4

6 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 6

0 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Excelsior 11. · Utrecht 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	13	13	0	0	+41	39
2	Ajax	13	11	1	1	+35	34
3	Feyenoord	12	8	2	2	+10	26
4	Utrecht	12	6	3	3	+7	21
5	Heracles	13	6	2	5	-2	20
6	AZ Alkmaar	13	5	4	4	+4	19
7	VVV Venlo	12	5	4	3	+2	19
8	For Sittard	13	4	4	5	+2	16
9	Vitesse	11	4	3	4	+1	15
10	Den Haag	13	4	3	6	-10	15
11	Excelsior	13	4	3	6	-12	15
12	Heerenveen	13	3	5	5	-6	14
13	Willem II	13	3	4	6	-5	13
14	FC Emmen	13	3	4	6	-13	13
15	Zwolle	13	3	2	8	-10	11
16	Groningen	12	3	1	8	-8	10
17	De Graafschap	13	3	1	9	-19	10
18	NAC Breda	13	2	2	9	-17	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	7	7	0	0	+26	21
2	Feyenoord	6	6	0	0	+11	18
3	Ajax	6	5	1	0	+18	16
4	Utrecht	7	5	1	1	+11	16
5	Heracles	6	5	0	1	+9	15
6	For Sittard	7	3	2	2	+5	11
7	VVV Venlo	6	3	2	1	+5	11
8	AZ Alkmaar	6	2	3	1	+5	9
9	De Graafschap	7	3	0	4	-4	9
10	Excelsior	7	2	2	3	-7	8
11	Vitesse	4	2	1	1	+1	7
12	NAC Breda	7	2	1	4	-4	7
13	Den Haag	6	2	1	3	-6	7
14	FC Emmen	7	1	3	3	-3	6
15	Willem II	6	1	2	3	+1	5
16	Groningen	6	1	1	4	-3	4
17	Zwolle	7	1	1	5	-4	4
18	Heerenveen	6	0	3	3	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	7	6	0	1	+17	18
2	PSV Eindhoven	6	6	0	0	+15	18
3	Heerenveen	7	3	2	2	+2	11
4	AZ Alkmaar	7	3	1	3	-1	10
5	Vitesse	7	2	2	3	+0	8
6	Feyenoord	6	2	2	2	-1	8
7	VVV Venlo	6	2	2	2	-3	8
8	Den Haag	7	2	2	3	-4	8
9	Willem II	7	2	2	3	-6	8
10	Excelsior	6	2	1	3	-5	7
11	Zwolle	6	2	1	3	-6	7
12	FC Emmen	6	2	1	3	-10	7
13	Groningen	6	2	0	4	-5	6
14	For Sittard	6	1	2	3	-3	5
15	Utrecht	5	1	2	2	-4	5
16	Heracles	7	1	2	4	-11	5
17	NAC Breda	6	0	1	5	-13	1
18	De Graafschap	6	0	1	5	-15	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.