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Eredivisie

Referee: Joey Kooij

Excelsior

T S U S T

2–2

Full-time

Utrecht

U T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Excelsior Utrecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,8

1,8

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 20/18 matches

Win Ø 37%

35%

39%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

65%

56%

Both score Ø 63%

65%

61%

Average goals

2,8

2,9

Scored

1,3

1,4

Conceded

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

40% Possession 60%

13 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 10

1 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Excelsior 11. · Utrecht 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	21	18	1	2	+35	55
2	Ajax	20	14	3	3	+39	45
3	AZ Alkmaar	20	13	3	4	+17	42
4	Feyenoord	20	10	6	4	+21	36
5	Zwolle	21	10	6	5	+1	36
6	Vitesse	19	8	6	5	+10	30
7	Heerenveen	20	8	6	6	-1	30
8	Den Haag	20	8	4	8	-3	28
9	Utrecht	18	7	6	5	-3	27
10	VVV Venlo	20	6	8	6	-3	26
11	Excelsior	20	7	3	10	-6	24
12	Heracles	21	6	6	9	-12	24
13	Groningen	21	5	7	9	-2	22
14	Willem II	20	4	5	11	-15	17
15	Twente	21	4	4	13	-12	16
16	NAC Breda	20	4	4	12	-17	16
17	Roda	20	4	3	13	-22	15
18	Sparta Rotterdam	20	2	5	13	-27	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	10	10	0	0	+21	30
2	Ajax	10	8	0	2	+20	24
3	AZ Alkmaar	10	7	0	3	+9	21
4	Heracles	11	6	3	2	+5	21
5	Zwolle	10	6	2	2	+7	20
6	Feyenoord	10	5	3	2	+8	18
7	Groningen	11	4	5	2	+5	17
8	Den Haag	11	4	3	4	+1	15
9	Utrecht	9	3	5	1	+0	14
10	Heerenveen	10	4	2	4	-5	14
11	Roda	10	3	3	4	-3	12
12	Twente	10	3	2	5	-2	11
13	Vitesse	8	2	4	2	+2	10
14	NAC Breda	10	3	1	6	-11	10
15	Willem II	11	2	3	6	-4	9
16	VVV Venlo	10	2	3	5	-5	9
17	Excelsior	10	2	2	6	-6	8
18	Sparta Rotterdam	10	2	2	6	-12	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	11	8	1	2	+14	25
2	Ajax	10	6	3	1	+19	21
3	AZ Alkmaar	10	6	3	1	+8	21
4	Vitesse	11	6	2	3	+8	20
5	Feyenoord	10	5	3	2	+13	18
6	VVV Venlo	10	4	5	1	+2	17
7	Heerenveen	10	4	4	2	+4	16
8	Excelsior	10	5	1	4	+0	16
9	Zwolle	11	4	4	3	-6	16
10	Utrecht	9	4	1	4	-3	13
11	Den Haag	9	4	1	4	-4	13
12	Willem II	9	2	2	5	-11	8
13	NAC Breda	10	1	3	6	-6	6
14	Groningen	10	1	2	7	-7	5
15	Twente	11	1	2	8	-10	5
16	Sparta Rotterdam	10	0	3	7	-15	3
17	Heracles	10	0	3	7	-17	3
18	Roda	10	1	0	9	-19	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.