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Eredivisie

Referee: P van Boekel

Ajax

U S S S S

3–0

Full-time

Groningen

U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Groningen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

4,7

2,7

Scored

4,5

1,0

Conceded

0,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+4,3

-0,7

This season — Eredivisie · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

4,7

2,7

Scored

4,5

1,0

Conceded

0,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+4,3

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

73% Possession 27%

23 Shots 5

9 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

4 Corners 2

4 Offside 0

7 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 1. · Groningen 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	6	5	1	0	+26	16
2	Willem II	7	5	1	1	+3	16
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	0	2	+7	15
4	Feyenoord	5	4	0	1	+10	12
5	Utrecht	6	3	2	1	+8	11
6	Twente	6	3	1	2	+3	10
7	Heerenveen	5	3	1	1	+1	10
8	Cambuur	6	3	0	3	-7	9
9	Vitesse	6	3	0	3	-8	9
10	Nijmegen	6	2	2	2	-5	8
11	Sparta Rotterdam	6	1	3	2	-4	6
12	Go Ahead Eagles	6	2	0	4	-4	6
13	Waalwijk	6	1	2	3	-2	5
14	Groningen	6	1	2	3	-4	5
15	Heracles	5	1	1	3	-3	4
16	For Sittard	5	1	1	3	-7	4
17	Zwolle	6	0	1	5	-7	1
18	AZ Alkmaar	4	0	0	4	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	3	3	0	0	+19	9
2	Cambuur	4	3	0	1	+5	9
3	Willem II	4	3	0	1	-1	9
4	Utrecht	3	2	1	0	+6	7
5	Twente	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	PSV Eindhoven	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Heerenveen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
9	Go Ahead Eagles	4	2	0	2	+1	6
10	Sparta Rotterdam	3	1	2	0	+2	5
11	Nijmegen	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	For Sittard	3	1	1	1	-4	4
13	Waalwijk	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Heracles	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Groningen	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Zwolle	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Vitesse	2	0	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	0	1	+5	9
2	Vitesse	4	3	0	1	-2	9
3	Ajax	3	2	1	0	+7	7
4	Willem II	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Feyenoord	3	2	0	1	+6	6
6	Utrecht	3	1	1	1	+2	4
7	Heerenveen	3	1	1	1	-1	4
8	Nijmegen	3	1	1	1	-4	4
9	Twente	3	1	0	2	+0	3
10	Groningen	3	1	0	2	-3	3
11	Waalwijk	3	0	2	1	-1	2
12	Heracles	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Sparta Rotterdam	3	0	1	2	-6	1
14	For Sittard	2	0	0	2	-3	0
15	AZ Alkmaar	3	0	0	3	-4	0
16	Zwolle	3	0	0	3	-4	0
17	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	0	2	-5	0
18	Cambuur	2	0	0	2	-12	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.