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Eredivisie

Referee: L Gerrets

Zwolle

U U U T T

4–1

Full-time

Heerenveen

S U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle Heerenveen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,7

1,8

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 24%

17%

30%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

48%

Both score Ø 59%

57%

61%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,6

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%

21 Shots 10

10 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

4 Corners 4

1 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Zwolle 12. · Heerenveen 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	22	18	2	2	+55	56
2	PSV Eindhoven	23	15	5	3	+29	50
3	AZ Alkmaar	23	13	7	3	+19	46
4	Vitesse	23	13	3	7	+11	42
5	Feyenoord	21	12	5	4	+22	41
6	Groningen	22	11	5	6	+6	38
7	Twente	23	9	7	7	+7	34
8	Utrecht	20	8	8	4	+8	32
9	For Sittard	23	9	4	10	-6	31
10	Heerenveen	23	7	9	7	+0	30
11	Heracles	23	8	4	11	-11	28
12	Zwolle	23	4	11	8	-9	23
13	Sparta Rotterdam	21	6	4	11	-6	22
14	Waalwijk	23	5	7	11	-13	22
15	VVV Venlo	22	6	4	12	-20	22
16	Willem II	23	3	5	15	-29	14
17	Den Haag	23	2	8	13	-30	14
18	FC Emmen	23	1	6	16	-33	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	11	10	0	1	+20	30
2	Ajax	11	9	1	1	+24	28
3	Vitesse	11	8	2	1	+11	26
4	Groningen	12	6	4	2	+6	22
5	Feyenoord	9	6	2	1	+14	20
6	AZ Alkmaar	11	6	2	3	+6	20
7	Utrecht	11	5	5	1	+5	20
8	Heerenveen	11	5	3	3	+5	18
9	Heracles	11	5	1	5	+4	16
10	For Sittard	12	4	2	6	-4	14
11	Twente	12	3	4	5	-1	13
12	Waalwijk	12	3	4	5	-3	13
13	Zwolle	11	2	6	3	-2	12
14	VVV Venlo	11	3	3	5	-16	12
15	Willem II	12	3	2	7	-12	11
16	Sparta Rotterdam	11	2	3	6	-3	9
17	FC Emmen	12	1	3	8	-17	6
18	Den Haag	11	0	5	6	-12	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	11	9	1	1	+31	28
2	AZ Alkmaar	12	7	5	0	+13	26
3	Feyenoord	12	6	3	3	+8	21
4	Twente	11	6	3	2	+8	21
5	PSV Eindhoven	12	5	5	2	+9	20
6	For Sittard	11	5	2	4	-2	17
7	Vitesse	12	5	1	6	+0	16
8	Groningen	10	5	1	4	+0	16
9	Sparta Rotterdam	10	4	1	5	-3	13
10	Utrecht	9	3	3	3	+3	12
11	Heerenveen	12	2	6	4	-5	12
12	Heracles	12	3	3	6	-15	12
13	Zwolle	12	2	5	5	-7	11
14	VVV Venlo	11	3	1	7	-4	10
15	Waalwijk	11	2	3	6	-10	9
16	Den Haag	12	2	3	7	-18	9
17	FC Emmen	11	0	3	8	-16	3
18	Willem II	11	0	3	8	-17	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.