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Eredivisie
Referee: R Dieperink
Groningen
T T S U T
1–1
Full-time
Heerenveen
U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen Heerenveen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 3/2 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%
15 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 0
1 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Groningen 11. · Heerenveen 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 4 4 0 0 +11 12
2 Ajax 4 3 1 0 +12 10
3 Utrecht 4 2 1 1 +5 7
4 Willem II 4 2 1 1 +0 7
5 Nijmegen 4 2 1 1 -2 7
6 Feyenoord 3 2 0 1 +4 6
7 Heerenveen 2 2 0 0 +2 6
8 Cambuur 4 2 0 2 +1 6
9 For Sittard 2 1 1 0 +1 4
10 Waalwijk 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Groningen 3 1 1 1 -2 4
12 Twente 4 1 1 2 -2 4
13 Go Ahead Eagles 4 1 0 3 -4 3
14 Vitesse 3 1 0 2 -7 3
15 Heracles 3 0 1 2 -3 1
16 Sparta Rotterdam 3 0 1 2 -6 1
17 AZ Alkmaar 2 0 0 2 -4 0
18 Zwolle 4 0 0 4 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Groningen Heerenveen
19′
T. Halilović 0–1
J. Veerman
44′
🟨 Nicolas Madsen
Half-time 0–1
R. Postema 🔁
↦ M. de Leeuw
46′
B. van Hintum 🔁
↦ M. Šverko
46′
D. Irandust 🔁
↦ B. Meijer
46′
Laros Duarte 🟨
59′
P. Abraham 🔁
↦ P. Joosten
65′
65′
🔁 A. van der Heide
↦ H. Veerman
1–1 C. Ngonge
T. Suslov
68′
70′
🟨 Tibor Halilović
Mike te Wierik 🟨
71′
D. van Kaam 🔁
↦ L. Duarte
74′
79′
🟨 Lucas Woudenberg
80′
🔁 F. Stevanović
↦ B. Nygren
Mike te Wierik 🟨
84′
Mike te Wierik 🟥
84′
92′
🟨 Filip Stevanović
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Groningen

3-4-3
1 P. Leeuwenburgh G
5 M. te Wierik D
20 M. Šverko D
21 N. Kasanwirjo D
40 B. Meijer M
6 L. Duarte M
7 T. Suslov M
8 M. de Leeuw F
14 P. Joosten F
11 M. El Hankouri M
27 C. Ngonge F
Bench (9)
29 R. Postema
3 B. van Hintum
10 D. Irandust
19 P. Abraham
26 D. van Kaam
16 J. Hoekstra
25 J. de Boer
15 Y. Kalley
2 D. Dankerlui

Coach: D. Buijs

Heerenveen

4-3-3
1 E. Mulder G
5 L. Woudenberg D
4 S. van Beek D
14 I. Dresevic D
27 M. van Ewijk D
6 S. de Jong F
10 T. Halilović M
20 J. Veerman M
29 N. Madsen M
9 H. Veerman F
8 B. Nygren F
Bench (11)
16 A. van der Heide
7 F. Stevanović
30 S. Shopov
19 J. Ras
18 H. Akujobi
15 N. Bakker
17 R. Al Hajj
35 D. Nunumete
22 X. Mous
23 J. Bekkema
2 S. van Ottele

Coach: J. Jansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,07
U ✓
3,54
B
3,40
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,87
U2,5 ✓
1,95
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Dieperink · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.