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Eredivisie
Referee: A Lindhout
Utrecht
U S T U S
5–1
Full-time
Zwolle
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Zwolle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,7
1,5
Scored
2,0
0,2
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-1,2
This season — Eredivisie · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,7
1,5
Scored
2,0
0,2
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
22 Shots 8
11 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 1
2 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Utrecht 5. · Zwolle 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 7 6 1 0 +29 19
2 Willem II 7 5 1 1 +3 16
3 PSV Eindhoven 7 5 0 2 +7 15
4 Feyenoord 5 4 0 1 +10 12
5 Utrecht 6 3 2 1 +8 11
6 Twente 6 3 1 2 +3 10
7 Heerenveen 5 3 1 1 +1 10
8 Vitesse 7 3 1 3 -8 10
9 Cambuur 6 3 0 3 -7 9
10 Nijmegen 6 2 2 2 -5 8
11 Sparta Rotterdam 6 1 3 2 -4 6
12 Go Ahead Eagles 6 2 0 4 -4 6
13 Waalwijk 6 1 2 3 -2 5
14 Groningen 7 1 2 4 -7 5
15 For Sittard 6 1 2 3 -7 5
16 Heracles 5 1 1 3 -3 4
17 Zwolle 6 0 1 5 -7 1
18 AZ Alkmaar 4 0 0 4 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,30
U
5,54
B
9,56
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,55
U2,5
2,42
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Lindhout · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.