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Eredivisie
Referee: M Perez
Zwolle
T T T T T
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle Sparta Rotterdam
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,3
2,7
Scored
0,2
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 10%
0%
20%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 20%
0%
40%
Both score Ø 30%
0%
60%
Average goals
1,4
2,8
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,4
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

58% Possession 42%
16 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 7
2 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zwolle 18. · Sparta Rotterdam 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 6 5 1 0 +26 16
2 PSV Eindhoven 6 5 0 1 +8 15
3 Willem II 6 4 1 1 +2 13
4 Utrecht 6 3 2 1 +8 11
5 Heerenveen 4 3 1 0 +3 10
6 Feyenoord 4 3 0 1 +8 9
7 Vitesse 6 3 0 3 -8 9
8 Nijmegen 6 2 2 2 -5 8
9 Twente 5 2 1 2 +1 7
10 Go Ahead Eagles 6 2 0 4 -4 6
11 Cambuur 5 2 0 3 -8 6
12 Waalwijk 6 1 2 3 -2 5
13 Groningen 6 1 2 3 -4 5
14 Sparta Rotterdam 5 1 2 2 -4 5
15 Heracles 4 1 1 2 -2 4
16 For Sittard 5 1 1 3 -7 4
17 AZ Alkmaar 3 0 0 3 -5 0
18 Zwolle 5 0 0 5 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zwolle Sparta Rotterdam
1′
V. van Crooij 0–1
A. Meijers
1–1 D. Redan
Y. Nakayama
8′
Half-time 1–1
E. Reijnders 🔁
↦ R. Strieder
46′
46′
🔁 E. Emegha
↦ S. Mijnans
Dean Huiberts 🟨
55′
69′
🔁 K. Goudmijn
↦ Mohammed Osman
C. Landu 🔁
↦ G. Kastaneer
72′
L. Fernandes 🔁
↦ D. Redan
72′
81′
🟨 Bryan Smeets
85′
🔁 M. Engels
↦ L. Thy
88′
🟨 Kenzo Goudmijn
K. Paal 🔁
↦ M. Pabai
88′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Zwolle

4-2-3-1
1 K. Lamprou G
2 B. van Polen D
4 Y. Nakayama D
3 S. Voet D
27 M. Pabai D
13 R. Strieder M
20 T. van den Belt M
8 D. Huiberts M
7 G. Kastaneer M
19 D. Redan M
9 S. Tedić F
Bench (12)
23 E. Reijnders
45 C. Landu
14 L. Fernandes
5 K. Paal
32 E. Mbinga
16 J. Schendelaar
33 R. van den Berg
37 R. Koolwijk
22 D. Chirino
6 M. Saymak
40 M. Hauptmeijer
18 G. Caschili

Coach: A. Langeler

Sparta Rotterdam

4-2-3-1
1 M. Okoye G
5 A. Meijers D
3 B. Vriends D
4 M. Heylen D
2 D. Abels D
6 A. Auassar M
10 B. Smeets M
8 Mohammed Osman M
7 S. Mijnans M
9 L. Thy F
11 V. van Crooij M
Bench (9)
19 E. Emegha
16 K. Goudmijn
18 M. Engels
17 G. Masouras
20 B. van Leer
12 L. Jans
30 T. Coremans
15 G. Overman
14 M. Tahiri

Coach: H. Fraser

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,71
U ✓
3,28
B
2,61
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,98
U2,5 ✓
1,83
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Perez · 31 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,39 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.