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Eredivisie
Referee: M Nagtegaal
Heerenveen
U U T T S
3–2
Full-time
Waalwijk
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Waalwijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

60% Possession 40%
11 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 7
1 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heerenveen 9. · Waalwijk 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 1 1 0 0 +5 3
2 Feyenoord 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 Utrecht 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 PSV Eindhoven 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 For Sittard 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Groningen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Vitesse 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Waalwijk 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Heerenveen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Nijmegen 2 1 0 1 -3 3
11 Twente 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Cambuur 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 AZ Alkmaar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Go Ahead Eagles 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Heracles 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Zwolle 2 0 0 2 -3 0
17 Willem II 1 0 0 1 -4 0
18 Sparta Rotterdam 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

14. Jan -21 Heerenveen – Waalwijk 1–1 22. Nov -20 Waalwijk – Heerenveen 1–1 8. Dec -19 Waalwijk – Heerenveen 1–3

Match report

Heerenveen Waalwijk
Henk Veerman ℹ️
VAR: Penalty awarded
12′
13′
🟨 Ahmed Touba
1–0 H. Veerman ⚽
14′
2–0 T. Halilović ⚽
F. Stevanović
31′
43′
🟨 Richard van der Venne
3–0 H. Veerman ⚽
J. Veerman
44′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 J. Odgaard
↦ I. Bel Hassani
46′
🔁 A. El Bouchataoui
↦ T. Lutonda
50′
🟨 Michiel Kramer
68′
⚽ J. Odgaard 3–1
A. Touba
69′
🔁 L. Daneels
↦ S. Bakari
69′
🔁 F. Stokkers
↦ M. Kramer
B. Nygren 🔁
↦ F. Stevanović
75′
Milan van Ewijk 🟨
76′
L. Woudenberg 🔁
↦ S. de Jong
84′
84′
🔁 Y. Oukili
↦ A. Azhil
S. Shopov 🔁
↦ T. Halilović
88′
89′
⚽ R. van der Venne 3–2
A. Büttner
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Heerenveen

4-2-3-1
1 E. Mulder G
4 S. van Beek D
14 I. Dresevic D
13 R. Kaib D
27 M. van Ewijk D
6 S. de Jong M
10 T. Halilović M
21 R. Kongolo M
20 J. Veerman M
9 H. Veerman F
7 F. Stevanović M
Bench (9)
8 B. Nygren
5 L. Woudenberg
30 S. Shopov
22 X. Mous
18 H. Akujobi
11 M. van Bergen
35 D. Nunumete
2 S. van Ottele
23 J. Bekkema

Coach: J. Jansen

Waalwijk

4-2-3-1
21 Joel Pereira G
28 A. Büttner M
2 J. Gaari D
59 A. Touba D
5 T. Lutonda D
3 M. Meulensteen D
11 I. Bel Hassani M
10 R. van der Venne M
22 S. Bakari M
8 A. Azhil M
29 M. Kramer F
Bench (11)
7 J. Odgaard
14 A. El Bouchataoui
20 L. Daneels
9 F. Stokkers
33 Y. Oukili
1 E. Vaessen
4 S. Adewoye
31 I. El Maach
26 S. Augustijns
12 H. Mulder
15 L. Nieuwpoort

Coach: J. Oosting

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,76
🔒
U
3,69
🔒
B
4,55
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,59
🔒
U2,5
2,31
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Nagtegaal · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.