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Ligue 1

Referee: F Letexier

Strasbourg

U S T S S

1–2

Full-time

Lille

U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Strasbourg Lille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 36%

43%

29%

Points per game

1,4

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

57%

71%

Both score Ø 64%

57%

71%

Average goals

3,1

Scored

1,6

1,3

Conceded

1,6

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%

10 Shots 16

3 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 8

0 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Strasbourg 9. · Lille 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	7	7	0	0	+13	21
2	Nice	7	4	2	1	+12	14
3	Marseille	6	4	2	0	+7	14
4	Angers	7	3	3	1	+4	12
5	Lens	7	3	3	1	+3	12
6	Lorient	7	3	3	1	+1	12
7	Lyon	7	3	2	2	+1	11
8	Nantes	7	3	1	3	+3	10
9	Strasbourg	7	3	1	3	+0	10
10	Montpellier	7	2	3	2	+2	9
11	Clermont	7	2	3	2	-6	9
12	Rennes	7	2	2	3	+1	8
13	Monaco	7	2	2	3	-2	8
14	Lille	7	2	2	3	-4	8
15	Reims	7	1	4	2	-1	7
16	Bordeaux	7	1	3	3	-6	6
17	Troyes	7	1	2	4	-4	5
18	Brest	7	0	4	3	-6	4
19	Metz	7	0	3	4	-8	3
20	St Etienne	8	0	3	5	-10	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Lorient	3	3	0	0	+3	9
3	Lyon	4	2	2	0	+4	8
4	Rennes	4	2	1	1	+5	7
5	Marseille	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	Montpellier	4	2	1	1	+3	7
7	Strasbourg	4	2	1	1	+3	7
8	Angers	4	2	1	1	+2	7
9	Nantes	4	2	0	2	+1	6
10	Lille	3	2	0	1	-2	6
11	Nice	3	1	2	0	+4	5
12	Clermont	3	1	2	0	+2	5
13	Lens	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Monaco	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Brest	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Reims	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Metz	4	0	2	2	-3	2
18	St Etienne	4	0	2	2	-4	2
19	Troyes	3	0	1	2	-2	1
20	Bordeaux	3	0	1	2	-3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	4	4	0	0	+6	12
2	Nice	4	3	0	1	+8	9
3	Lens	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Marseille	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Angers	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Reims	4	1	2	1	+1	5
7	Bordeaux	4	1	2	1	-3	5
8	Nantes	3	1	1	1	+2	4
9	Monaco	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Troyes	4	1	1	2	-2	4
11	Clermont	4	1	1	2	-8	4
12	Lorient	4	0	3	1	-2	3
13	Strasbourg	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Lyon	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	Montpellier	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Lille	4	0	2	2	-2	2
17	Brest	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Rennes	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Metz	3	0	1	2	-5	1
20	St Etienne	4	0	1	3	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.