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Serie B
Cittadella
S S T S T
1–2
Full-time
Lecce
T U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cittadella Lecce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
This season — Serie B · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
60%
40%
Points per game
1,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
40%
60%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
3,0
2,6
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
1,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

13 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 3
2 Corners 4
13 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cittadella 8. · Lecce 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Pisa 5 5 0 0 +9 15
2 Ascoli 5 4 0 1 +3 12
3 Brescia 5 3 2 0 +8 11
4 Benevento 5 3 1 1 +5 10
5 Frosinone 5 2 3 0 +4 9
6 Cremonese 5 3 0 2 +2 9
7 Reggina 5 2 3 0 +2 9
8 Cittadella 5 3 0 2 -1 9
9 Perugia 5 2 2 1 +3 8
10 Lecce 5 2 2 1 +1 8
11 Spal 5 2 1 2 +4 7
12 Parma 5 2 1 2 +2 7
13 Cosenza 5 2 1 2 -2 7
14 Monza 5 1 3 1 +0 6
15 Ternana 5 1 1 3 -4 4
16 Crotone 5 0 3 2 -5 3
17 Como 5 0 2 3 -5 2
18 Pordenone 5 0 1 4 -11 1
19 Vicenza 5 0 0 5 -7 0
20 Alessandria 5 0 0 5 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,69
U
3,07
B ✓
2,70
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,01
U2,5
1,80
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.