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Bundesliga

Referee: M Fritz

Union Berlin

U U S U T

1–0

Full-time

Bielefeld

U U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Union Berlin Bielefeld

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,0

1,7

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

This season — Bundesliga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 10%

20%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

60%

20%

Both score Ø 70%

80%

60%

Average goals

3,0

1,6

Scored

1,4

0,6

Conceded

1,6

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%

17 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 4

4 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 5

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Union Berlin 8. · Bielefeld 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	6	5	1	0	+18	16
2	Wolfsburg	5	4	1	0	+5	13
3	Dortmund	5	4	0	1	+6	12
4	Leverkusen	5	3	1	1	+8	10
5	Mainz	5	3	1	1	+4	10
6	Freiburg	5	2	3	0	+2	9
7	FC Koln	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	Union Berlin	5	1	3	1	-1	6
9	Hertha	5	2	0	3	-5	6
10	Hoffenheim	5	1	2	2	+1	5
11	Augsburg	5	1	2	2	-6	5
12	RB Leipzig	5	1	1	3	-1	4
13	Bielefeld	5	0	4	1	-2	4
14	Stuttgart	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Ein Frankfurt	5	0	4	1	-3	4
16	M'gladbach	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	Bochum	5	1	0	4	-9	3
18	Greuther Furth	6	0	1	5	-12	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	3	3	0	0	+13	9
2	Dortmund	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Mainz	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	FC Koln	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Wolfsburg	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Union Berlin	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	M'gladbach	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Freiburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Leverkusen	2	1	0	1	+3	3
10	Stuttgart	3	1	0	2	+1	3
11	RB Leipzig	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Hertha	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Bochum	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Bielefeld	3	0	3	0	+0	3
15	Augsburg	3	1	0	2	-6	3
16	Ein Frankfurt	2	0	2	0	+0	2
17	Hoffenheim	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Greuther Furth	3	0	1	2	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leverkusen	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Bayern Munich	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Wolfsburg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Freiburg	3	1	2	0	+1	5
5	Hoffenheim	3	1	1	1	+3	4
6	Dortmund	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Mainz	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Hertha	3	1	0	2	-5	3
9	Augsburg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Ein Frankfurt	3	0	2	1	-3	2
11	FC Koln	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Union Berlin	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Bielefeld	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	RB Leipzig	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Stuttgart	2	0	1	1	-4	1
16	M'gladbach	3	0	0	3	-6	0
17	Greuther Furth	3	0	0	3	-8	0
18	Bochum	3	0	0	3	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.