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Championship

Referee: J Simpson

Nott'm Forest

T T U T T

1–1

Full-time

Millwall

T S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nott'm Forest Millwall

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,3

This season — Championship · 7/8 matches

Win Ø 7%

13%

Points per game

0,1

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

57%

38%

Both score Ø 80%

71%

88%

Average goals

2,4

2,3

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%

10 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 4

2 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nott'm Forest 25. · Millwall 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	West Brom	10	6	4	0	+9	22
2	Coventry	10	7	1	2	+9	22
3	Bournemouth	8	5	3	0	+8	18
4	Fulham	8	5	1	2	+11	16
5	Reading	10	5	1	4	+0	16
6	Stoke	8	4	2	2	+1	14
7	Huddersfield	7	4	1	2	+4	13
8	Blackburn	8	3	4	1	+3	13
9	Luton	9	3	4	2	+1	13
10	Sheffield United	9	3	3	3	+4	12
11	QPR	9	3	3	3	+3	12
12	Cardiff	9	3	3	3	+2	12
13	Bristol City	8	3	3	2	+1	12
14	Preston	9	3	3	3	-1	12
15	Birmingham	9	3	2	4	-3	11
16	Derby	9	2	4	3	-2	10
17	Middlesbrough	9	2	3	4	-2	9
18	Millwall	8	1	5	2	-2	8
19	Barnsley	8	1	5	2	-3	8
20	Blackpool	8	2	2	4	-5	8
21	Swansea	8	1	4	3	-4	7
22	Peterboro	9	2	1	6	-10	7
23	Peterborough	9	2	1	6	-10	7
24	Hull	8	1	2	5	-7	5
25	Nott'm Forest	7	0	1	6	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Coventry	6	6	0	0	+11	18
2	Reading	6	4	1	1	+5	13
3	West Brom	5	3	2	0	+6	11
4	Stoke	4	3	1	0	+3	10
5	Preston	5	3	1	1	+1	10
6	Bournemouth	4	2	2	0	+4	8
7	Luton	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	Sheffield United	5	2	1	2	+6	7
9	Fulham	4	2	1	1	+4	7
10	Peterboro	4	2	1	1	+3	7
11	Peterborough	4	2	1	1	+3	7
12	Blackburn	4	2	1	1	+2	7
13	Huddersfield	3	2	0	1	+1	6
14	Derby	4	1	3	0	+1	6
15	QPR	4	1	2	1	+1	5
16	Millwall	4	1	2	1	+0	5
17	Barnsley	4	1	2	1	+0	5
18	Cardiff	4	1	1	2	+0	4
19	Middlesbrough	4	1	1	2	-1	4
20	Birmingham	4	1	1	2	-3	4
21	Bristol City	4	0	3	1	-1	3
22	Swansea	4	0	3	1	-2	3
23	Blackpool	4	1	0	3	-5	3
24	Hull	4	0	1	3	-6	1
25	Nott'm Forest	4	0	0	4	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	West Brom	5	3	2	0	+3	11
2	Bournemouth	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Fulham	4	3	0	1	+7	9
4	Bristol City	4	3	0	1	+2	9
5	Cardiff	5	2	2	1	+2	8
6	Huddersfield	4	2	1	1	+3	7
7	QPR	5	2	1	2	+2	7
8	Birmingham	5	2	1	2	+0	7
9	Blackburn	4	1	3	0	+1	6
10	Blackpool	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Luton	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Middlesbrough	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Sheffield United	4	1	2	1	-2	5
14	Hull	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Swansea	4	1	1	2	-2	4
16	Stoke	4	1	1	2	-2	4
17	Coventry	4	1	1	2	-2	4
18	Derby	5	1	1	3	-3	4
19	Millwall	4	0	3	1	-2	3
20	Barnsley	4	0	3	1	-3	3
21	Reading	4	1	0	3	-5	3
22	Preston	4	0	2	2	-2	2
23	Nott'm Forest	3	0	1	2	-2	1
24	Peterboro	5	0	0	5	-13	0
25	Peterborough	5	0	0	5	-13	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.