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2. Bundesliga
Ingolstadt
T U S T T
1–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ingolstadt Fortuna Dusseldorf
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
2,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-0,7
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 22%
14%
29%
Points per game
0,6
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
71%
43%
Both score Ø 50%
43%
57%
Average goals
3,3
2,9
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
2,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
-1,9
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

11 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 2
4 Corners 8
15 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Ingolstadt 17. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Regensburg 8 5 2 1 +10 17
2 Heidenheim 8 4 3 1 +4 15
3 Paderborn 7 4 2 1 +10 14
4 St Pauli 7 4 1 2 +6 13
5 Nurnberg 7 3 4 0 +4 13
6 Karlsruhe 7 3 3 1 +5 12
7 Hamburg 7 3 3 1 +4 12
8 Werder Bremen 7 3 2 2 +2 11
9 Darmstadt 8 3 1 4 +3 10
10 Dresden 7 3 1 3 +2 10
11 Schalke 04 7 3 1 3 +0 10
12 Hannover 7 3 1 3 -4 10
13 Fortuna Dusseldorf 7 2 2 3 -2 8
14 Hansa Rostock 7 2 1 4 -4 7
15 Holstein Kiel 7 1 2 4 -9 5
16 Sandhausen 7 1 1 5 -8 4
17 Ingolstadt 7 1 1 5 -13 4
18 Erzgebirge Aue 8 0 3 5 -10 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,87
U
3,75
B ✓
1,86
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,72
U2,5
2,11
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.