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Ligue 1

Referee: A Gautier

Paris SG

S S S S S

2–0

Full-time

Montpellier

S T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Montpellier

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

4,0

3,8

Scored

3,0

2,2

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 65%

100%

29%

Points per game

3,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 79%

86%

71%

Both score Ø 79%

71%

86%

Average goals

3,9

4,0

Scored

2,9

2,1

Conceded

1,0

1,9

Goal diff per game

+1,9

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%

16 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 7

5 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paris SG 1. · Montpellier 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	7	7	0	0	+13	21
2	Nice	7	4	2	1	+12	14
3	Marseille	6	4	2	0	+7	14
4	Angers	7	3	3	1	+4	12
5	Lens	7	3	3	1	+3	12
6	Lorient	7	3	3	1	+1	12
7	Lyon	7	3	2	2	+1	11
8	Lille	8	3	2	3	-3	11
9	Nantes	7	3	1	3	+3	10
10	Strasbourg	8	3	1	4	-1	10
11	Montpellier	7	2	3	2	+2	9
12	Clermont	7	2	3	2	-6	9
13	Rennes	7	2	2	3	+1	8
14	Monaco	7	2	2	3	-2	8
15	Reims	7	1	4	2	-1	7
16	Bordeaux	7	1	3	3	-6	6
17	Troyes	7	1	2	4	-4	5
18	Brest	7	0	4	3	-6	4
19	Metz	7	0	3	4	-8	3
20	St Etienne	8	0	3	5	-10	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Lorient	3	3	0	0	+3	9
3	Lyon	4	2	2	0	+4	8
4	Rennes	4	2	1	1	+5	7
5	Marseille	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	Montpellier	4	2	1	1	+3	7
7	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	+2	7
8	Angers	4	2	1	1	+2	7
9	Nantes	4	2	0	2	+1	6
10	Lille	3	2	0	1	-2	6
11	Nice	3	1	2	0	+4	5
12	Clermont	3	1	2	0	+2	5
13	Lens	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Monaco	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Brest	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Reims	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Metz	4	0	2	2	-3	2
18	St Etienne	4	0	2	2	-4	2
19	Troyes	3	0	1	2	-2	1
20	Bordeaux	3	0	1	2	-3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	4	4	0	0	+6	12
2	Nice	4	3	0	1	+8	9
3	Lens	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Marseille	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Angers	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Reims	4	1	2	1	+1	5
7	Lille	5	1	2	2	-1	5
8	Bordeaux	4	1	2	1	-3	5
9	Nantes	3	1	1	1	+2	4
10	Monaco	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Troyes	4	1	1	2	-2	4
12	Clermont	4	1	1	2	-8	4
13	Lorient	4	0	3	1	-2	3
14	Strasbourg	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	Lyon	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Montpellier	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Brest	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Rennes	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Metz	3	0	1	2	-5	1
20	St Etienne	4	0	1	3	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.