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Süper Lig
Referee: S Saka
Ad. Demirspor
U U T S U
4–0
Full-time
Gaziantep
U T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ad. Demirspor Gaziantep
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
This season — Süper Lig · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
6 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 0
0 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 9
5 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ad. Demirspor 14. · Gaziantep 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Altay 7 5 0 2 +5 15
2 Besiktas 7 4 2 1 +7 14
3 Trabzonspor 6 4 2 0 +7 14
4 Hatayspor 6 4 1 1 +9 13
5 Fenerbahce 6 4 1 1 +4 13
6 Konyaspor 6 3 3 0 +4 12
7 Alanyaspor 6 4 0 2 -3 12
8 Karagumruk 7 3 2 2 +1 11
9 Kayserispor 6 3 1 2 +2 10
10 Sivasspor 7 2 3 2 +3 9
11 Gaziantep 6 2 2 2 +0 8
12 Galatasaray 6 2 2 2 -1 8
13 Antalyaspor 7 2 2 3 -3 8
14 Ad. Demirspor 6 1 3 2 -3 6
15 Yeni Malatyaspor 7 2 0 5 -7 6
16 Goztep 6 1 2 3 -3 5
17 Kasimpasa 6 1 2 3 -3 5
18 Buyuksehyr 6 1 0 5 -3 3
19 Giresunspor 6 0 1 5 -7 1
20 Rizespor 6 0 1 5 -9 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ad. Demirspor Gaziantep
1–0 Y. Akgün
M. Vargas
12′
36′
🟨 Joao Figueiredo
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 S. Kitsiou
↦ O. Ceylan
M. Mimaroğlu 🔁
↦ Y. Akgün
63′
B. Assombalonga 🔁
↦ M. Vargas
63′
1–1 S. Caulker
own goal
65′
68′
🔁 K. Özer
↦ A. El Messaoudi
68′
🔁 N. Dicko
↦ Á. Sagal
Benjamin Stambouli 🟨
71′
71′
🟨 Papy Djilobodji
2–1 M. Balotelli
S. Kurt
78′
T. Çamdal 🔁
↦ J. Svensson
81′
L. Castro 🔁
↦ M. Balotelli
81′
81′
🔁 A. Maxim
↦ João Figueiredo
3–1 B. Assombalonga
85′
İ. Çelik 🔁
↦ S. Kurt
89′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Ad. Demirspor

4-2-3-1
35 F. Kaplan G
22 J. Svensson D
91 S. Deli D
5 S. Akaydin D
95 J. Rassoul D
67 B. Bjarnason M
90 B. Stambouli M
8 S. Kurt M
77 M. Vargas M
9 M. Balotelli F
23 Y. Akgün M
Bench (10)
17 M. Mimaroğlu
7 B. Assombalonga
20 T. Çamdal
19 L. Castro
16 İ. Çelik
4 S. Güler
15 F. Ezeh
2 T. Sanuç
49 A. Murić
6 K. Kanak

Coach: V. Montella

Gaziantep

4-2-3-1
1 G. Güvenç G
45 S. Caulker D
3 P. Djilobodji D
17 O. Ceylan D
11 H. Pehlivan D
20 R. Niyaz M
52 A. Merkel M
18 A. El Messaoudi M
10 M. Demir F
28 Á. Sagal M
25 João Figueiredo M
Bench (10)
70 S. Kitsiou
7 K. Özer
94 N. Dicko
44 A. Maxim
6 A. Toșca
15 E. Ersoy
5 F. Soyalp
27 H. Mendyl
22 T. Børven
71 M. Bozan

Coach: E. Bulut

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,18
U
3,30
B
3,36
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,11
U2,5
1,73
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Saka · 35 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.