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Eredivisie

Referee: R Martens

Utrecht

T S U S T

2–2

Full-time

Waalwijk

T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Waalwijk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,0

3,2

Scored

1,3

Conceded

0,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

50%

25%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

50%

75%

Both score Ø 50%

25%

75%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

0,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

58% Possession 42%

19 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

10 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Utrecht 6. · Waalwijk 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	5	4	1	0	+21	13
2	PSV Eindhoven	4	4	0	0	+11	12
3	Heerenveen	4	3	1	0	+3	10
4	Willem II	5	3	1	1	+1	10
5	Nijmegen	5	2	2	1	-2	8
6	Utrecht	4	2	1	1	+5	7
7	Feyenoord	3	2	0	1	+4	6
8	Vitesse	4	2	0	2	-6	6
9	Cambuur	5	2	0	3	-8	6
10	Groningen	5	1	2	2	-3	5
11	Sparta Rotterdam	5	1	2	2	-4	5
12	Waalwijk	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	For Sittard	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Twente	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Go Ahead Eagles	4	1	0	3	-4	3
16	Heracles	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	AZ Alkmaar	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Zwolle	4	0	0	4	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	3	3	0	0	+19	9
2	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Utrecht	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Cambuur	3	2	0	1	+4	6
5	Heerenveen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Willem II	3	2	0	1	-2	6
7	Sparta Rotterdam	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Nijmegen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	For Sittard	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Twente	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Go Ahead Eagles	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Waalwijk	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Groningen	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Zwolle	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Heracles	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Vitesse	3	2	0	1	-3	6
3	Willem II	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Ajax	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Heerenveen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Nijmegen	3	1	1	1	-4	4
7	Feyenoord	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	Groningen	3	1	0	2	-3	3
9	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Waalwijk	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Utrecht	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	For Sittard	2	0	0	2	-3	0
14	Twente	2	0	0	2	-3	0
15	Zwolle	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	0	2	-5	0
17	Sparta Rotterdam	2	0	0	2	-6	0
18	Cambuur	2	0	0	2	-12	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.