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Eredivisie
Referee: D Makkelie
Zwolle
T U U T U
1–1
Full-time
Utrecht
U U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle Utrecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 8/7 matches
Win Ø 21%
13%
29%
Points per game
0,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
50%
57%
Both score Ø 61%
50%
71%
Average goals
2,9
2,7
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
10 Shots 2
4 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 6
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zwolle 13. · Utrecht 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Vitesse 9 7 1 1 +12 22
2 Ajax 8 7 0 1 +27 21
3 PSV Eindhoven 8 6 1 1 +14 19
4 Twente 8 5 2 1 +12 17
5 Feyenoord 7 5 2 0 +10 17
6 Heerenveen 8 5 1 2 +5 16
7 Groningen 9 4 2 3 -1 14
8 AZ Alkmaar 7 2 5 0 +6 11
9 Utrecht 7 2 3 2 -3 9
10 Heracles 8 2 2 4 -4 8
11 Willem II 9 2 2 5 -8 8
12 VVV Venlo 9 2 2 5 -14 8
13 Zwolle 8 1 4 3 -5 7
14 Sparta Rotterdam 7 1 2 4 -8 5
15 Waalwijk 8 1 2 5 -10 5
16 Den Haag 8 1 1 6 -12 4
17 FC Emmen 8 0 3 5 -10 3
18 For Sittard 8 0 3 5 -11 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zwolle Utrecht
17′
🟨 Tommy St Jago
Kenneth Paal 🟨
21′
25′
🔁 J. Hoogma
↦ W. Janssen
1–0 M. Saymak
M. Pherai
32′
Half-time 1–0
Dean Huiberts 🟨
54′
59′
M. Mahi 1–1
G. Kerk
R. Strieder 🔁
↦ M. Saymak
67′
J. Drost 🔁
↦ D. Huiberts
67′
M. Doue 🔁
↦ S. Kersten
76′
76′
🔁 Adrián Dalmau
↦ M. Mahi
77′
🔁 S. van de Streek
↦ J. van Overeem
M. van Duinen 🔁
↦ E. Reijnders
81′
Thomas Lam 🟨
84′
85′
🟨 Simon Gustafsson
86′
🔁 E. Elia
↦ B. Ramselaar
87′
🟨 Eljero Elia
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Zwolle

4-3-3
1 M. Zetterer G
3 T. Lam D
5 K. Paal D
4 Y. Nakayama M
31 S. van Wermeskerken D
15 S. Kersten D
6 M. Saymak M
25 M. Pherai F
23 E. Reijnders F
30 D. Huiberts M
27 S. Tedić F
Bench (10)
13 R. Strieder
11 J. Drost
36 M. Doue
9 M. van Duinen
21 S. Lagsir
40 M. Hauptmeijer
8 R. Ghoochannejhad
20 T. van den Belt
16 X. Mous
10 C. Leemans

Coach: J. Stegeman

Utrecht

4-3-3
1 M. Paes G
14 W. Janssen D
21 D. Warmerdam D
20 G. Troupée D
25 T. St. Jago D
6 A. Maher M
8 J. van Overeem M
10 S. Gustafson M
23 B. Ramselaar F
19 M. Mahi F
7 G. Kerk F
Bench (12)
3 J. Hoogma
9 Adrián Dalmau
22 S. van de Streek
11 E. Elia
32 E. Oelschlägel
29 M. Sylla
16 T. Nijhuis
15 D. Arzani
28 U. Emanuelson
2 M. van der Maarel
26 O. Boussaid
5 L. Guwara

Coach: R. Hake

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,45
U ✓
3,72
B
1,99
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,60
U2,5 ✓
2,32
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Makkelie · 193 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.