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Eredivisie

Referee: Bjorn Kuipers

Zwolle

T U T S S

4–3

Full-time

Utrecht

U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle Utrecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,5

4,0

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

This season — Eredivisie · 19/17 matches

Win Ø 37%

32%

41%

Points per game

1,1

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

47%

59%

Both score Ø 48%

42%

53%

Average goals

2,8

2,9

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,6

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

57% Possession 43%

19 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 3

1 Offside 4

14 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 2

The table before the match Zwolle 14. · Utrecht 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	19	17	1	1	+53	52
2	Ajax	20	16	2	2	+54	50
3	Feyenoord	20	12	3	5	+16	39
4	AZ Alkmaar	20	10	4	6	+14	34
5	Heracles	18	8	2	8	-5	26
6	VVV Venlo	20	7	5	8	-8	26
7	Utrecht	17	7	4	6	+2	25
8	Willem II	20	7	4	9	-6	25
9	Vitesse	18	6	6	6	+1	24
10	For Sittard	19	6	5	8	-4	23
11	Heerenveen	20	5	7	8	-5	22
12	Excelsior	20	6	4	10	-20	22
13	Groningen	19	6	3	10	-3	21
14	Zwolle	19	6	3	10	-9	21
15	Den Haag	19	5	6	8	-13	21
16	FC Emmen	20	5	6	9	-21	21
17	De Graafschap	20	5	3	12	-24	18
18	NAC Breda	20	4	4	12	-22	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	10	10	0	0	+35	30
2	Feyenoord	10	9	0	1	+17	27
3	Ajax	10	8	2	0	+36	26
4	AZ Alkmaar	10	5	3	2	+12	18
5	Heracles	9	6	0	3	+6	18
6	Utrecht	9	5	1	3	+8	16
7	De Graafschap	11	5	1	5	+1	16
8	VVV Venlo	9	4	3	2	+6	15
9	For Sittard	10	4	3	3	+3	15
10	Vitesse	8	4	3	1	+3	15
11	Excelsior	11	4	3	4	-7	15
12	NAC Breda	10	4	2	4	-1	14
13	Groningen	9	3	1	5	+2	10
14	Den Haag	9	2	3	4	-8	9
15	Zwolle	10	2	2	6	-5	8
16	Willem II	10	2	2	6	-5	8
17	FC Emmen	10	1	4	5	-8	7
18	Heerenveen	9	1	3	5	-9	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	10	8	0	2	+18	24
2	PSV Eindhoven	9	7	1	1	+18	22
3	Willem II	10	5	2	3	-1	17
4	Heerenveen	11	4	4	3	+4	16
5	AZ Alkmaar	10	5	1	4	+2	16
6	FC Emmen	10	4	2	4	-13	14
7	Zwolle	9	4	1	4	-4	13
8	Feyenoord	10	3	3	4	-1	12
9	Den Haag	10	3	3	4	-5	12
10	Groningen	10	3	2	5	-5	11
11	VVV Venlo	11	3	2	6	-14	11
12	Vitesse	10	2	3	5	-2	9
13	Utrecht	8	2	3	3	-6	9
14	For Sittard	9	2	2	5	-7	8
15	Heracles	9	2	2	5	-11	8
16	Excelsior	9	2	1	6	-13	7
17	NAC Breda	10	0	2	8	-21	2
18	De Graafschap	9	0	2	7	-25	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.