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Championship

Referee: P Bankes

Reading

T U S S S

1–0

Full-time

Middlesbrough

U U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reading Middlesbrough

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,0

2,3

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,3

This season — Championship · 9/8 matches

Win Ø 35%

44%

25%

Points per game

1,4

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

100%

38%

Both score Ø 76%

89%

63%

Average goals

4,1

2,4

Scored

2,0

1,1

Conceded

2,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%

13 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 4

3 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Reading 9. · Middlesbrough 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	West Brom	10	6	4	0	+9	22
2	Coventry	10	7	1	2	+9	22
3	Bournemouth	8	5	3	0	+8	18
4	Fulham	8	5	1	2	+11	16
5	Stoke	8	4	2	2	+1	14
6	Huddersfield	7	4	1	2	+4	13
7	Blackburn	8	3	4	1	+3	13
8	Luton	9	3	4	2	+1	13
9	Reading	9	4	1	4	-1	13
10	Sheffield United	9	3	3	3	+4	12
11	QPR	9	3	3	3	+3	12
12	Cardiff	9	3	3	3	+2	12
13	Bristol City	8	3	3	2	+1	12
14	Preston	9	3	3	3	-1	12
15	Birmingham	9	3	2	4	-3	11
16	Derby	9	2	4	3	-2	10
17	Middlesbrough	8	2	3	3	-1	9
18	Millwall	8	1	5	2	-2	8
19	Barnsley	8	1	5	2	-3	8
20	Blackpool	8	2	2	4	-5	8
21	Swansea	8	1	4	3	-4	7
22	Peterboro	9	2	1	6	-10	7
23	Peterborough	9	2	1	6	-10	7
24	Hull	8	1	2	5	-7	5
25	Nott'm Forest	7	0	1	6	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Coventry	6	6	0	0	+11	18
2	West Brom	5	3	2	0	+6	11
3	Reading	5	3	1	1	+4	10
4	Stoke	4	3	1	0	+3	10
5	Preston	5	3	1	1	+1	10
6	Bournemouth	4	2	2	0	+4	8
7	Luton	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	Sheffield United	5	2	1	2	+6	7
9	Fulham	4	2	1	1	+4	7
10	Peterboro	4	2	1	1	+3	7
11	Peterborough	4	2	1	1	+3	7
12	Blackburn	4	2	1	1	+2	7
13	Huddersfield	3	2	0	1	+1	6
14	Derby	4	1	3	0	+1	6
15	QPR	4	1	2	1	+1	5
16	Millwall	4	1	2	1	+0	5
17	Barnsley	4	1	2	1	+0	5
18	Cardiff	4	1	1	2	+0	4
19	Middlesbrough	4	1	1	2	-1	4
20	Birmingham	4	1	1	2	-3	4
21	Bristol City	4	0	3	1	-1	3
22	Swansea	4	0	3	1	-2	3
23	Blackpool	4	1	0	3	-5	3
24	Hull	4	0	1	3	-6	1
25	Nott'm Forest	4	0	0	4	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	West Brom	5	3	2	0	+3	11
2	Bournemouth	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Fulham	4	3	0	1	+7	9
4	Bristol City	4	3	0	1	+2	9
5	Cardiff	5	2	2	1	+2	8
6	Huddersfield	4	2	1	1	+3	7
7	QPR	5	2	1	2	+2	7
8	Birmingham	5	2	1	2	+0	7
9	Blackburn	4	1	3	0	+1	6
10	Blackpool	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Luton	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Middlesbrough	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Sheffield United	4	1	2	1	-2	5
14	Hull	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Swansea	4	1	1	2	-2	4
16	Stoke	4	1	1	2	-2	4
17	Coventry	4	1	1	2	-2	4
18	Derby	5	1	1	3	-3	4
19	Millwall	4	0	3	1	-2	3
20	Barnsley	4	0	3	1	-3	3
21	Reading	4	1	0	3	-5	3
22	Preston	4	0	2	2	-2	2
23	Nott'm Forest	3	0	1	2	-2	1
24	Peterboro	5	0	0	5	-13	0
25	Peterborough	5	0	0	5	-13	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.