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Premier League

Referee: S Attwell

Brentford

S U U T S

3–3

Full-time

Liverpool

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brentford Liverpool

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,8

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 17%

17%

Average goals

1,5

2,5

Scored

1,2

2,3

Conceded

0,3

0,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+2,2

This season — Premier League · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 60%

40%

80%

Points per game

1,6

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 30%

60%

Both score Ø 20%

20%

Average goals

1,4

2,6

Scored

1,0

2,4

Conceded

0,4

0,2

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+2,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

33% Possession 67%

12 Shots 16

4 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 11

4 Offside 4

8 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brentford 10. · Liverpool 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	5	4	1	0	+11	13
2	Man City	6	4	1	1	+11	13
3	Chelsea	6	4	1	1	+10	13
4	Man United	6	4	1	1	+8	13
5	Everton	6	4	1	1	+5	13
6	Brighton	5	4	0	1	+3	12
7	West Ham	6	3	2	1	+5	11
8	Aston Villa	6	3	1	2	+2	10
9	Tottenham	5	3	0	2	-3	9
10	Brentford	5	2	2	1	+3	8
11	Watford	6	2	1	3	-2	7
12	Leicester	6	2	1	3	-3	7
13	Arsenal	5	2	0	3	-7	6
14	Crystal Palace	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	Southampton	5	0	4	1	-2	4
16	Wolves	5	1	0	4	-3	3
17	Newcastle	6	0	3	3	-7	3
18	Leeds	6	0	3	3	-8	3
19	Burnley	6	0	2	4	-6	2
20	Norwich	6	0	0	6	-14	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Everton	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Man City	3	2	1	0	+10	7
3	Liverpool	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Aston Villa	3	2	1	0	+5	7
5	Man United	3	2	0	1	+6	6
6	Chelsea	3	2	0	1	+5	6
7	Brighton	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Tottenham	3	2	0	1	-1	6
9	Crystal Palace	2	1	1	0	+3	4
10	West Ham	3	1	1	1	+2	4
11	Leicester	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Watford	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Brentford	2	1	0	1	+1	3
14	Arsenal	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	Southampton	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Newcastle	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Burnley	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Leeds	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Wolves	3	0	0	3	-4	0
20	Norwich	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chelsea	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	West Ham	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Man United	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Liverpool	2	2	0	0	+6	6
5	Brighton	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Man City	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Brentford	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Everton	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Wolves	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Watford	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Tottenham	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Leicester	3	1	0	2	-3	3
13	Aston Villa	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Arsenal	3	1	0	2	-6	3
15	Southampton	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Leeds	3	0	2	1	-4	2
17	Burnley	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Newcastle	3	0	1	2	-5	1
19	Crystal Palace	3	0	1	2	-6	1
20	Norwich	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.