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Premiership
Referee: G Duncan
Hearts
S U S U U
3–0
Full-time
Livingston
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Livingston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,5
0,5
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,0
This season — Premiership · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,5
0,5
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

72% Possession 28%
14 Shots 3
6 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 1
3 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 22
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hearts 3. · Livingston 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 6 4 1 1 +6 13
2 Hibernian 6 3 3 0 +6 12
3 Hearts 6 3 3 0 +4 12
4 Motherwell 6 3 2 1 +3 11
5 Dundee United 6 3 1 2 -1 10
6 Celtic 6 3 0 3 +12 9
7 Aberdeen 6 2 2 2 +0 8
8 ST Johnstone 6 1 3 2 -1 6
9 Livingston 6 1 1 4 -6 4
10 St Mirren 6 0 4 2 -7 4
11 Ross County 6 0 3 3 -8 3
12 Dundee 6 0 3 3 -8 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hearts Livingston
1–0 M. Smith
25′
2–0 L. Boyce
33′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 J. Longridge
↦ A. Lewis
46′
🔁 S. Oméonga
↦ B. Williamson
49′
🟨 Andrew Shinnie
A. Gnanduillet 🔁
↦ L. Boyce
63′
3–0 A. Cochrane
B. McKay
64′
66′
🔁 B. Anderson
↦ O. Bailey
A. Halliday 🔁
↦ S. Kingsley
71′
76′
🟨 Stephane Omeonga
G. Mackay-Steven 🔁
↦ B. McKay
77′
78′
🟨 Jack Fitzwater
P. Haring 🔁
↦ C. Halkett
89′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Hearts

3-4-3
1 C. Gordon G
2 M. Smith M
3 S. Kingsley D
19 C. Halkett D
15 T. Moore D
17 A. Cochrane M
18 B. McKay F
9 B. Woodburn F
6 B. Baningime M
14 C. Devlin M
10 L. Boyce F
Bench (7)
21 A. Gnanduillet
16 A. Halliday
11 G. Mackay-Steven
5 P. Haring
8 A. McEneff
13 R. Stewart
7 J. Walker

Coach: R. Neilson

Livingston

4-4-2
32 M. Stryjek G
2 N. Devlin D
6 A. Obileye D
21 J. McMillan M
5 J. Fitzwater D
16 A. Lewis M
29 J. Penrice D
22 A. Shinnie F
18 J. Holt M
14 O. Bailey F
12 B. Williamson M
Bench (7)
3 J. Longridge
33 S. Oméonga
9 B. Anderson
17 A. Forrest
1 D. Barden
11 C. Montaño
24 S. Kelly

Coach: D. Martindale

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,60
U
3,70
B
6,14
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,12
U2,5
1,71
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Duncan · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.