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Eredivisie

Referee: Jeroen Manschot

Utrecht

T U S U U

2–1

Full-time

Twente

U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Twente

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

3,5

1,8

Scored

2,2

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 22/23 matches

Win Ø 38%

45%

30%

Points per game

1,6

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

68%

61%

Both score Ø 61%

64%

57%

Average goals

3,3

3,1

Scored

1,9

1,3

Conceded

1,4

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%

13 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 6

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 2

2 Offside 4

12 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Utrecht 7. · Twente 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	22	17	2	3	+46	53
2	AZ Alkmaar	22	15	2	5	+29	47
3	Feyenoord	23	13	7	3	+13	46
4	PSV Eindhoven	23	12	6	5	+24	42
5	Willem II	24	12	5	7	+3	41
6	Vitesse	23	11	5	7	+11	38
7	Utrecht	22	10	5	7	+12	35
8	Groningen	24	10	5	9	+4	35
9	Heerenveen	24	7	9	8	+1	30
10	Sparta Rotterdam	24	8	6	10	-4	30
11	Heracles	23	8	5	10	+3	29
12	FC Emmen	24	8	5	11	-12	29
13	Twente	23	7	6	10	-9	27
14	VVV Venlo	24	8	3	13	-24	27
15	For Sittard	24	6	6	12	-23	24
16	Zwolle	23	6	4	13	-17	22
17	Den Haag	24	4	6	14	-25	18
18	Waalwijk	24	3	3	18	-32	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	12	11	0	1	+34	33
2	Feyenoord	12	8	3	1	+12	27
3	PSV Eindhoven	11	8	2	1	+20	26
4	FC Emmen	12	8	2	2	+11	26
5	AZ Alkmaar	11	8	1	2	+18	25
6	Groningen	12	7	1	4	+8	22
7	Willem II	12	6	4	2	+6	22
8	Sparta Rotterdam	12	6	3	3	+10	21
9	Vitesse	11	6	3	2	+9	21
10	For Sittard	12	6	3	3	+5	21
11	Heracles	11	6	1	4	+11	19
12	Utrecht	10	6	0	4	+13	18
13	Twente	12	5	3	4	+2	18
14	Heerenveen	13	3	8	2	+1	17
15	VVV Venlo	12	5	2	5	-7	17
16	Zwolle	11	4	2	5	-3	14
17	Den Haag	12	2	5	5	-6	11
18	Waalwijk	12	2	2	8	-8	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	11	7	1	3	+11	22
2	Ajax	10	6	2	2	+12	20
3	Feyenoord	11	5	4	2	+1	19
4	Willem II	12	6	1	5	-3	19
5	Vitesse	12	5	2	5	+2	17
6	Utrecht	12	4	5	3	-1	17
7	PSV Eindhoven	12	4	4	4	+4	16
8	Heerenveen	11	4	1	6	+0	13
9	Groningen	12	3	4	5	-4	13
10	Heracles	12	2	4	6	-8	10
11	VVV Venlo	12	3	1	8	-17	10
12	Twente	11	2	3	6	-11	9
13	Sparta Rotterdam	12	2	3	7	-14	9
14	Zwolle	12	2	2	8	-14	8
15	Den Haag	12	2	1	9	-19	7
16	Waalwijk	12	1	1	10	-24	4
17	FC Emmen	12	0	3	9	-23	3
18	For Sittard	12	0	3	9	-28	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.