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Eredivisie

Referee: Jochem Kamphuis

Utrecht

U U S S S

3–1

Full-time

Twente

T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Twente

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,7

0,5

Conceded

0,8

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-1,3

This season — Eredivisie · 22/24 matches

Win Ø 31%

45%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

59%

58%

Both score Ø 59%

64%

54%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,5

1,1

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

60% Possession 40%

13 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 2

2 Offside 3

7 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Utrecht 6. · Twente 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	25	21	2	2	+39	65
2	Ajax	25	18	4	3	+45	58
3	AZ Alkmaar	25	16	5	4	+24	53
4	Feyenoord	25	12	6	7	+20	42
5	Zwolle	25	11	6	8	-1	39
6	Utrecht	22	10	7	5	+2	37
7	Vitesse	22	9	7	6	+11	34
8	Den Haag	23	9	6	8	-2	33
9	Heerenveen	24	8	8	8	-3	32
10	Excelsior	25	9	5	11	-5	32
11	VVV Venlo	25	7	11	7	-5	32
12	Heracles	25	8	6	11	-16	30
13	Groningen	25	5	10	10	-5	25
14	Willem II	25	6	5	14	-14	23
15	NAC Breda	25	5	6	14	-16	21
16	Twente	24	4	5	15	-17	17
17	Roda	25	4	5	16	-28	17
18	Sparta Rotterdam	25	3	6	16	-29	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	12	11	1	0	+22	34
2	Ajax	13	10	1	2	+23	31
3	Heracles	13	8	3	2	+7	27
4	AZ Alkmaar	13	8	2	3	+10	26
5	Feyenoord	13	7	3	3	+10	24
6	Zwolle	12	7	2	3	+7	23
7	Utrecht	11	5	5	1	+2	20
8	Groningen	13	4	7	2	+5	19
9	Den Haag	12	5	3	4	+2	18
10	Willem II	13	4	3	6	+0	15
11	Heerenveen	12	4	3	5	-6	15
12	VVV Venlo	13	3	5	5	-4	14
13	Vitesse	10	3	4	3	+3	13
14	NAC Breda	12	4	1	7	-8	13
15	Twente	12	3	3	6	-6	12
16	Roda	12	3	3	6	-8	12
17	Sparta Rotterdam	12	3	2	7	-12	11
18	Excelsior	12	2	4	6	-6	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	13	10	1	2	+17	31
2	Ajax	12	8	3	1	+22	27
3	AZ Alkmaar	12	8	3	1	+14	27
4	Excelsior	13	7	1	5	+1	22
5	Vitesse	12	6	3	3	+8	21
6	Feyenoord	12	5	3	4	+10	18
7	VVV Venlo	12	4	6	2	-1	18
8	Heerenveen	12	4	5	3	+3	17
9	Utrecht	11	5	2	4	+0	17
10	Zwolle	13	4	4	5	-8	16
11	Den Haag	11	4	3	4	-4	15
12	NAC Breda	13	1	5	7	-8	8
13	Willem II	12	2	2	8	-14	8
14	Groningen	12	1	3	8	-10	6
15	Twente	12	1	2	9	-11	5
16	Roda	13	1	2	10	-20	5
17	Sparta Rotterdam	13	0	4	9	-17	4
18	Heracles	12	0	3	9	-23	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.