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Eredivisie
Referee: D Makkelie
Utrecht
S S U U U
1–0
Full-time
Groningen
T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Groningen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,0
1,8
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 32/33 matches
Win Ø 42%
41%
42%
Points per game
1,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
50%
39%
Both score Ø 54%
66%
42%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
19 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Utrecht 6. · Groningen 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 34 28 4 2 +79 88
2 PSV Eindhoven 34 21 9 4 +39 72
3 AZ Alkmaar 34 21 8 5 +34 71
4 Vitesse 34 18 7 9 +14 61
5 Feyenoord 32 16 9 7 +28 57
6 Utrecht 32 13 12 7 +11 51
7 Groningen 33 14 7 12 +3 49
8 Sparta Rotterdam 33 13 7 13 +1 46
9 Heracles 34 12 8 14 -11 44
10 Twente 34 10 11 13 -2 41
11 For Sittard 34 12 5 17 -8 41
12 Heerenveen 34 9 12 13 -6 39
13 Zwolle 34 9 11 14 -9 38
14 Willem II 34 8 7 19 -28 31
15 Waalwijk 34 7 9 18 -22 30
16 FC Emmen 34 7 9 18 -28 30
17 VVV Venlo 34 6 5 23 -48 23
18 Den Haag 34 4 10 20 -47 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Utrecht Groningen
17′
🟨 Ko Itakura
Othman Boussaid 🟨
20′
23′
🟨 Damil Dankerlui
Half-time 0–0
49′
🔁 D. van Kaam
↦ B. van Hintum
62′
🟨 Ramon-Pascal Lundqvist
B. Ramselaar 🔁
↦ O. Boussaid
62′
70′
🔁 J. Larsen
↦ A. El Messaoudi
75′
🟨 Mo El Hankouri
1–0 S. Gustafson
77′
Sander van de Streek 🟨
84′
85′
🔁 T. Suslov
↦ R. Lundqvist
86′
🔁 P. Abraham
↦ A. da Cruz
86′
🔁 P. Joosten
↦ M. El Hankouri
M. Mahi 🔁
↦ G. Kerk
89′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Utrecht

4-3-3
32 E. Oelschlägel G
14 W. Janssen D
2 M. van der Maarel D
21 D. Warmerdam D
5 H. ter Avest D
6 A. Maher M
8 J. van Overeem M
22 S. van de Streek F
10 S. Gustafson M
7 G. Kerk F
26 O. Boussaid F
Bench (12)
23 B. Ramselaar
19 M. Mahi
28 U. Emanuelson
9 Adrián Dalmau
13 E. Bergström
29 M. Sylla
11 E. Elia
16 T. Nijhuis
3 J. Hoogma
25 T. St. Jago
1 M. Paes
30 R. Balk

Coach: R. Hake

Groningen

3-4-2-1
1 S. Padt G
3 B. van Hintum D
32 M. te Wierik D
2 D. Dankerlui M
5 K. Itakura D
7 R. Lundqvist M
18 A. El Messaoudi F
6 A. Matusiwa M
10 A. Robben F
21 A. da Cruz F
11 M. El Hankouri M
Bench (11)
26 D. van Kaam
9 J. Larsen
31 T. Suslov
19 P. Abraham
14 P. Joosten
25 J. de Boer
4 W. Dammers
15 G. Gudmundsson
8 S. Schreck
23 P. Bråtveit
17 Migue Leal

Coach: D. Buijs

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,81
U
3,67
B
4,25
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,84
U2,5 ✓
1,95
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Makkelie · 193 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.