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Eredivisie

Referee: Jochem Kamphuis

Heracles

S T S T T

3–2

Full-time

Sparta Rotterdam

S U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles Sparta Rotterdam

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,8

2,3

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

2,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,3

This season — Eredivisie · 15/14 matches

Win Ø 24%

33%

14%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

87%

50%

Both score Ø 65%

80%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,4

Scored

1,4

0,8

Conceded

2,1

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,9

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%

14 Shots 20

6 Shots on target 10

3 Blocked shots 3

8 Goalkeeper saves 3

12 Corners 8

2 Offside 4

14 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heracles 10. · Sparta Rotterdam 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	16	13	1	2	+24	40
2	AZ Alkmaar	16	11	2	3	+14	35
3	Ajax	15	10	2	3	+32	32
4	Zwolle	16	8	6	2	+8	30
5	Feyenoord	15	7	5	3	+10	26
6	Utrecht	13	7	2	4	-1	23
7	Den Haag	15	7	2	6	-2	23
8	Heerenveen	15	5	5	5	-2	20
9	Vitesse	13	5	4	4	+7	19
10	Heracles	15	5	3	7	-10	18
11	Groningen	16	4	5	7	-2	17
12	Excelsior	15	5	2	8	-6	17
13	VVV Venlo	16	3	7	6	-7	16
14	Willem II	16	4	4	8	-10	16
15	Twente	16	4	1	11	-9	13
16	NAC Breda	16	3	4	9	-16	13
17	Sparta Rotterdam	14	2	5	7	-12	11
18	Roda	16	3	2	11	-18	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	7	7	0	0	+13	21
2	AZ Alkmaar	8	6	0	2	+8	18
3	Zwolle	8	5	2	1	+7	17
4	Heracles	8	5	2	1	+5	17
5	Ajax	7	5	0	2	+14	15
6	Groningen	9	3	4	2	+1	13
7	Feyenoord	8	3	3	2	+2	12
8	Den Haag	9	3	2	4	-3	11
9	Twente	8	3	1	4	+0	10
10	Utrecht	5	3	1	1	+0	10
11	Willem II	8	2	2	4	-1	8
12	Roda	7	2	2	3	-3	8
13	Sparta Rotterdam	7	2	2	3	-3	8
14	NAC Breda	8	2	1	5	-12	7
15	Vitesse	6	1	3	2	+0	6
16	VVV Venlo	9	1	3	5	-7	6
17	Heerenveen	7	1	2	4	-8	5
18	Excelsior	8	1	1	6	-8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	9	6	1	2	+11	19
2	Ajax	8	5	2	1	+18	17
3	AZ Alkmaar	8	5	2	1	+6	17
4	Heerenveen	8	4	3	1	+6	15
5	Feyenoord	7	4	2	1	+8	14
6	Vitesse	7	4	1	2	+7	13
7	Excelsior	7	4	1	2	+2	13
8	Zwolle	8	3	4	1	+1	13
9	Utrecht	8	4	1	3	-1	13
10	Den Haag	6	4	0	2	+1	12
11	VVV Venlo	7	2	4	1	+0	10
12	Willem II	8	2	2	4	-9	8
13	NAC Breda	8	1	3	4	-4	6
14	Groningen	7	1	1	5	-3	4
15	Twente	8	1	0	7	-9	3
16	Sparta Rotterdam	7	0	3	4	-9	3
17	Roda	9	1	0	8	-15	3
18	Heracles	7	0	1	6	-15	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.