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Eredivisie

Referee: Kevin Blom

AZ Alkmaar

S S T S S

2–3

Full-time

PSV Eindhoven

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar PSV Eindhoven

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

83%

67%

Points per game

2,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,5

4,2

Scored

2,3

2,7

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,2

This season — Eredivisie · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 75%

66%

83%

Points per game

2,1

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

62%

76%

Both score Ø 52%

55%

48%

Average goals

3,0

3,7

Scored

2,0

2,6

Conceded

1,0

1,1

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%

10 Shots 18

3 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

6 Corners 8

7 Offside 4

18 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 3. · PSV Eindhoven 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	29	24	2	3	+44	74
2	Ajax	29	21	4	4	+51	67
3	AZ Alkmaar	29	19	5	5	+28	62
4	Feyenoord	29	15	6	8	+26	51
5	Zwolle	29	12	7	10	-2	43
6	Utrecht	25	11	7	7	+0	40
7	Vitesse	26	10	8	8	+8	38
8	Heerenveen	27	10	8	9	-3	38
9	Excelsior	30	11	5	14	-10	38
10	Heracles	29	10	7	12	-13	37
11	Den Haag	27	10	6	11	-7	36
12	VVV Venlo	29	7	13	9	-9	34
13	Willem II	30	8	6	16	-11	30
14	NAC Breda	30	8	6	16	-17	30
15	Groningen	29	6	11	12	-5	29
16	Roda	29	6	5	18	-29	23
17	Sparta Rotterdam	29	5	6	18	-31	21
18	Twente	29	4	8	17	-20	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	15	14	1	0	+32	43
2	Ajax	14	11	1	2	+26	34
3	Feyenoord	15	9	3	3	+16	30
4	Heracles	15	9	3	3	+7	30
5	AZ Alkmaar	14	9	2	3	+11	29
6	Zwolle	15	8	3	4	+8	27
7	Utrecht	12	6	5	1	+4	23
8	Groningen	15	5	7	3	+6	22
9	Willem II	15	6	3	6	+6	21
10	NAC Breda	15	6	1	8	-7	19
11	Den Haag	14	5	3	6	-3	18
12	Heerenveen	13	5	3	5	-4	18
13	Vitesse	13	4	5	4	+1	17
14	VVV Venlo	15	3	6	6	-5	15
15	Twente	14	3	5	6	-6	14
16	Sparta Rotterdam	14	4	2	8	-14	14
17	Excelsior	15	3	4	8	-7	13
18	Roda	14	3	3	8	-13	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	15	10	3	2	+25	33
2	AZ Alkmaar	15	10	3	2	+17	33
3	PSV Eindhoven	14	10	1	3	+12	31
4	Excelsior	15	8	1	6	-3	25
5	Feyenoord	14	6	3	5	+10	21
6	Vitesse	13	6	3	4	+7	21
7	Heerenveen	14	5	5	4	+1	20
8	VVV Venlo	14	4	7	3	-4	19
9	Den Haag	13	5	3	5	-4	18
10	Utrecht	13	5	2	6	-4	17
11	Zwolle	14	4	4	6	-10	16
12	NAC Breda	15	2	5	8	-10	11
13	Roda	15	3	2	10	-16	11
14	Willem II	15	2	3	10	-17	9
15	Groningen	14	1	4	9	-11	7
16	Sparta Rotterdam	15	1	4	10	-17	7
17	Heracles	14	1	4	9	-20	7
18	Twente	15	1	3	11	-14	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.