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Eredivisie

Referee: Siemen Mulder

Willem II

T T S T S

1–5

Full-time

Heerenveen

S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II Heerenveen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

3,3

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,7

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,0

This season — Eredivisie · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 29%

29%

Points per game

1,1

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

57%

64%

Both score Ø 64%

57%

71%

Average goals

3,5

4,1

Scored

1,6

1,9

Conceded

1,9

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

32% Possession 68%

5 Shots 20

1 Shots on target 11

1 Blocked shots 5

6 Goalkeeper saves 0

0 Corners 14

2 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Willem II 11. · Heerenveen 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	15	14	0	1	+46	42
2	Ajax	14	12	1	1	+39	37
3	Feyenoord	14	10	2	2	+14	32
4	Heracles	14	7	2	5	+1	23
5	Utrecht	13	6	4	3	+7	22
6	AZ Alkmaar	15	6	4	5	+5	22
7	VVV Venlo	14	5	4	5	-4	19
8	Heerenveen	14	4	5	5	-4	17
9	Vitesse	12	4	4	4	+1	16
10	For Sittard	15	4	4	7	-3	16
11	Willem II	14	4	4	6	-3	16
12	Excelsior	15	4	4	7	-18	16
13	Den Haag	14	4	3	7	-14	15
14	Zwolle	14	4	2	8	-8	14
15	FC Emmen	14	3	5	6	-13	14
16	Groningen	13	4	1	8	-5	13
17	De Graafschap	14	3	1	10	-21	10
18	NAC Breda	14	2	2	10	-20	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	8	8	0	0	+32	24
2	Feyenoord	8	8	0	0	+15	24
3	Ajax	7	6	1	0	+22	19
4	Heracles	7	6	0	1	+12	18
5	Utrecht	7	5	1	1	+11	16
6	VVV Venlo	6	3	2	1	+5	11
7	For Sittard	8	3	2	3	+2	11
8	AZ Alkmaar	7	2	3	2	+3	9
9	De Graafschap	8	3	0	5	-6	9
10	Excelsior	8	2	3	3	-7	9
11	Vitesse	5	2	2	1	+1	8
12	Groningen	7	2	1	4	+0	7
13	NAC Breda	7	2	1	4	-4	7
14	Den Haag	6	2	1	3	-6	7
15	FC Emmen	7	1	3	3	-3	6
16	Heerenveen	7	1	3	3	-6	6
17	Willem II	6	1	2	3	+1	5
18	Zwolle	7	1	1	5	-4	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	7	6	0	1	+17	18
2	PSV Eindhoven	7	6	0	1	+14	18
3	AZ Alkmaar	8	4	1	3	+2	13
4	Heerenveen	7	3	2	2	+2	11
5	Willem II	8	3	2	3	-4	11
6	Zwolle	7	3	1	3	-4	10
7	Vitesse	7	2	2	3	+0	8
8	Feyenoord	6	2	2	2	-1	8
9	Den Haag	8	2	2	4	-8	8
10	VVV Venlo	8	2	2	4	-9	8
11	FC Emmen	7	2	2	3	-10	8
12	Excelsior	7	2	1	4	-11	7
13	Utrecht	6	1	3	2	-4	6
14	Groningen	6	2	0	4	-5	6
15	For Sittard	7	1	2	4	-5	5
16	Heracles	7	1	2	4	-11	5
17	De Graafschap	6	0	1	5	-15	1
18	NAC Breda	7	0	1	6	-16	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.