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Eredivisie

Referee: Dennis Higler

Heerenveen

U S T S S

1–2

Full-time

Willem II

T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Willem II

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,2

3,3

Scored

1,8

2,2

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,0

This season — Eredivisie · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 50%

44%

56%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 60%

69%

50%

Average goals

2,9

Scored

1,7

1,6

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

60% Possession 40%

21 Shots 4

9 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 8

4 Corners 0

2 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 6

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heerenveen 5. · Willem II 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	16	13	2	1	+38	41
2	AZ Alkmaar	16	12	2	2	+30	38
3	PSV Eindhoven	16	9	4	3	+18	31
4	Willem II	16	9	2	5	+4	29
5	Heerenveen	16	7	6	3	+8	27
6	Utrecht	16	8	2	6	+7	26
7	Heracles	16	7	4	5	+7	25
8	Feyenoord	16	6	7	3	+2	25
9	Vitesse	16	7	3	6	+2	24
10	Groningen	16	6	3	7	+1	21
11	Sparta Rotterdam	16	5	5	6	-4	20
12	Twente	16	5	4	7	-5	19
13	FC Emmen	16	4	3	9	-14	15
14	For Sittard	16	4	3	9	-20	15
15	VVV Venlo	16	5	0	11	-23	15
16	Zwolle	16	4	1	11	-15	13
17	Den Haag	16	3	3	10	-13	12
18	Waalwijk	16	2	2	12	-23	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	8	7	0	1	+24	21
2	AZ Alkmaar	8	6	1	1	+15	19
3	PSV Eindhoven	8	6	1	1	+14	19
4	Heracles	8	5	1	2	+12	16
5	Willem II	8	5	1	2	+5	16
6	Utrecht	8	5	0	3	+10	15
7	Feyenoord	8	4	3	1	+4	15
8	Sparta Rotterdam	8	4	2	2	+6	14
9	For Sittard	8	4	2	2	+5	14
10	FC Emmen	8	4	2	2	+4	14
11	Vitesse	8	4	2	2	+4	14
12	Heerenveen	8	3	5	0	+3	14
13	Groningen	8	4	1	3	+5	13
14	VVV Venlo	8	4	0	4	-7	12
15	Twente	8	3	2	3	+1	11
16	Zwolle	8	3	1	4	-3	10
17	Den Haag	8	1	3	4	-5	6
18	Waalwijk	8	1	1	6	-9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	8	6	2	0	+14	20
2	AZ Alkmaar	8	6	1	1	+15	19
3	Heerenveen	8	4	1	3	+5	13
4	Willem II	8	4	1	3	-1	13
5	PSV Eindhoven	8	3	3	2	+4	12
6	Utrecht	8	3	2	3	-3	11
7	Vitesse	8	3	1	4	-2	10
8	Feyenoord	8	2	4	2	-2	10
9	Heracles	8	2	3	3	-5	9
10	Groningen	8	2	2	4	-4	8
11	Twente	8	2	2	4	-6	8
12	Den Haag	8	2	0	6	-8	6
13	Sparta Rotterdam	8	1	3	4	-10	6
14	Waalwijk	8	1	1	6	-14	4
15	Zwolle	8	1	0	7	-12	3
16	VVV Venlo	8	1	0	7	-16	3
17	FC Emmen	8	0	1	7	-18	1
18	For Sittard	8	0	1	7	-25	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.